Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 27 (9/27) MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Sep 27, 2022, 5:56:21 AM
Odds
| Time | 7:05 p.m. EST |
| Braves money line | -200 |
| Braves run line | -1.5 (-110) |
| Nationals money line | +170 |
| Nationals run line | +1.5 (-110) |
| Over / under | 9.5 |
Key stats
| Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | |
| Record | 96-58 | 53-100 |
| Road / home record | 44-32 | 24-51 |
| Last 10 record | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Over / under record | 77-70-8 | 70-74-9 |
| Runs / game | 4.96 | 3.86 |
| Runs allowed / game | 3.80 | 5.20 |
Preview
The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will play the 2nd game series at the Nationals Park. The Braves shotout the Nats 8-0 in the first game of the series and are 13-4 against them this season.
Atlanta Braves
The Braves get here with a 96-58 record and have won 7 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .254 AVG, 746 runs scored in 1321 hits and 227 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 37 home runs and 92 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280.
Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.50 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 20 wins recorded with the Braves.
Probable Pitcher: Kyle Muller (1-1, 10.57 ERA)
Muller will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves. Muller joined Atlanta's taxi squad Monday and will be recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett a day later to make a late-season start in the majors. The southpaw gave up nine runs in 7.2 innings over two starts for Atlanta earlier in the season. He has given up 3 runs on 2 hits with 2 walks and 3 strikeouts in 4.2 innings against the Nationals in his career.
Washington Nationals
The Nationals get here with a 53-100 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 577 runs scored in 1279 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 5.20 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.
Probable Pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-7, 4.17 ERA)
Espino will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Nationals. Espino allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks while striking out two across four innings Wednesday against Atlanta. He did not factor into the decision. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 5.29 and 30 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Braves in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
Atlanta are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
Atlanta are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games against Washington.
Atlanta are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games.
Washington are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Atlanta.
Prediction
The Nationals have struggled at home this season as they're winning only the 32% of the time and have lost 15 of the last 16 at home vs Braves. Paolo Espino will start for the Nationals who has been decent lately including his last start vs Braves where he held them to only 2 runs across 5 innings. The Braves clinched a playoff spot but will continue fighting for the division title with the Mets. Kyle Muller has only 2 starts in the majors this season and was struggling in the minors so I expect the Nats to get some runs this time and with the Braves offense on fire the best play is the over.
PICK: Braves -1.5 (-150)
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