Tyler Freeman's MLB Prop Bets - Tigers vs Guardians 7/22

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers (49-51, fourth in the AL Central) visit the Cleveland Guardians (59-39, first in the AL Central) on Monday, July 22, 2024, to kick off a four-game series at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. The game is scheduled to start at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Tigers have been performing well recently, winning seven of their last ten games, while the Guardians have struggled, managing only three wins in their last ten.

Historically, these teams have had competitive matchups, with the Tigers currently leading the season series 4-3. Detroit’s offense has been potent, particularly when they out-hit their opponents, boasting a remarkable 38-4 record in such games. On the other hand, the Guardians’ pitching staff has been a significant strength, collectively holding a 3.66 ERA, which ranks third in the American League.

The Guardians have a strong home record of 31-13, and they will look to leverage this advantage. The Tigers, with a 25-27 record on the road, will aim to build on their recent momentum and improve their standings in the AL Central.

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Player Prop Odds

Tyler Freeman Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)

Tyler Freeman Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+170)

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Player Analysis

Tyler Freeman has been a consistent performer for the Guardians this season. While his overall stats might not stand out, his recent form indicates a player finding his stride. Over the last ten games, Freeman has shown improved plate discipline and contact ability, which are crucial for hitting props. Freeman’s ability to get on base and advance runners makes him a valuable asset in the Guardians' lineup. Given his recent performances, betting on Freeman to get at least one hit seems a solid proposition.

Opposing Analysis

The Detroit Tigers will start left-hander Tarik Skubal, who has been excellent this season with a 10-3 record, a 2.41 ERA, and 140 strikeouts. Skubal’s dominance on the mound poses a challenge for Freeman. However, Freeman has shown the ability to handle left-handed pitching reasonably well, which should give bettors some confidence despite Skubal’s prowess.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Tarik Skubal (DET)	10-3	2.41	140
Carlos Carrasco (CLE)	3-7	5.02	68

Team Previews

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers have been an interesting team this season. Offensively, they have managed to score 462 runs (10th in MLB) while hitting .241 as a team (17th in MLB). Riley Greene has been a standout performer, leading the team with 17 home runs and maintaining a .271 batting average.

On the pitching side, the Tigers have been solid, with a team ERA of 3.95 (14th in MLB). Their bullpen has also been reliable, recording 34 saves, which ranks 2nd in MLB. However, they have struggled defensively, committing 51 errors (16th in MLB).

Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians have been the stronger team overall, particularly at home. Offensively, they have scored 429 runs (16th in MLB) with a .233 team batting average (24th in MLB). Jose Ramirez has been a key player, with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs.

The Guardians' pitching staff has been their cornerstone, posting a collective ERA of 3.66 (5th in MLB). Despite some injuries in their bullpen, the Guardians have managed to maintain a strong pitching performance. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors (6th in MLB), indicating some room for improvement.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
James Karinchak	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Recent Games

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Tigers' Recent Games	Guardians' Recent Games
Opponent Score W/L @ Toronto W 5-4 W @ Toronto W 7-3 W @ Toronto L 5-4 L @ Cleveland 6:40 PM — @ Cleveland 6:40 PM —	Opponent Score W/L vs San Diego W 7-0 W vs San Diego L 7-0 L vs San Diego L 2-1 L vs Detroit 6:40 PM — vs Detroit 6:40 PM —

Prediction

Given Tyler Freeman's recent form and his ability to handle left-handed pitching, betting on Freeman to get at least one hit seems a solid proposition. The odds of -170 for over 0.5 hits provide a reasonable return considering Freeman's consistency at the plate. Tarik Skubal is a formidable opponent, but Freeman's track record against lefties offers confidence in this bet.

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