Trevor Larnach Player Props: Twins vs Cubs 8/7
Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins (63-49) face off against the Chicago Cubs (56-60) on August 7, 2024, at Wrigley Field in Chicago. This matchup is the rubber game of a three-game series, with both teams looking to secure a vital win. The Twins have momentum after winning two of their last three games, while the Cubs are looking to bounce back after a recent loss. The Twins have shown power at the plate, with a record of 25-11 when hitting two or more home runs in a game, and they will be looking to exploit the Cubs' pitching staff. Historically, the Twins have had success against the Cubs, and this game could be crucial for both teams as they make their push toward the playoffs. The weather is expected to be partly sunny with a temperature around 75°F, which could lead to favorable hitting conditions.
Player Prop Odds
- Trevor Larnach Total Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)
- Trevor Larnach Total RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
- Trevor Larnach Total Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Trevor Larnach Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+165)
- Trevor Larnach Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Trevor Larnach Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
Player Analysis
Trevor Larnach has been a consistent contributor for the Twins this season. He boasts a .248 batting average with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Larnach has hit .292, showcasing his ability to make contact and get on base. He has a solid approach at the plate, demonstrated by his 57 hits in 230 at-bats. Against right-handed pitchers, Larnach has been particularly effective, which bodes well for this game against Cubs' righty Javier Assad.
Opposing Analysis
Javier Assad, the starting pitcher for the Cubs, has a commendable ERA of 3.19, but he has been vulnerable to giving up hits, especially to left-handed hitters like Larnach. The Cubs' pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.37, which indicates they allow runners on base frequently. Additionally, the Cubs have struggled in their last few games, allowing opponents to capitalize on their pitching weaknesses. Larnach's ability to hit for power and average makes him a potential threat against Assad today.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins | 7-7 | 3.59 | 145 |
| Javier Assad | Chicago Cubs | 5-3 | 3.19 | 89 |
Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have a .234 batting average this season, ranking them 23rd in MLB. However, they have displayed power, ranking 17th in runs scored with 485. The team has a solid pitching staff with a 3.75 ERA, ranking 7th overall in the league. Their recent form shows they are scoring 7 runs more than their opponents over their last ten games.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are 9th in the league in batting average (.252) and 6th in runs scored (550). However, their pitching staff has struggled with a 4.14 ERA, placing them 20th overall. Despite this, they have recently shown resilience, winning 6 out of their last 10 games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | CF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Carlos Correa | SS | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Tomas Nido | C | Expected to be out until at least Sep 2 |
| Hayden Wesneski | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 21 |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | W6-2 | W |
| St. Louis | L5-4 | L |
| St. Louis | W6-2 | W |
| Chicago | L3-0 | L |
| Chicago | W7-3 | W |
Prediction
Considering Larnach's recent form and the Cubs' pitching vulnerabilities, I expect him to get at least one hit. The odds are favorable, making this a solid choice for betting on his performance in today’s game.
