Trea Turner - MLB Prop Picks, Phillies vs Twins 7/22

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 23, 2024, 12:09:58 AM
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies (63-36, first in the NL East) are set to face the Minnesota Twins (54-44, second in the AL Central) at Target Field, Minneapolis on Monday, July 22, 2024. The game is scheduled to start at 7:40 p.m. EDT. The Phillies, with a 26-20 road record, are coming off a solid season, ranking fifth in the majors with a .424 slugging percentage. Meanwhile, the Twins have a commendable 27-20 record at home and are seventh in the MLB with 119 home runs. Both teams have shown competitive spirit, but the Twins are currently on a three-game losing streak and are eager to bounce back.
Historically, the Phillies and Twins have not faced each other this season, making this an intriguing matchup. Philadelphia's recent performance includes a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, with a .254 batting average and a concerning 5.37 ERA. On the other hand, the Twins also hold a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, boasting a .254 batting average and a 3.82 ERA. Key performers include Bryce Harper for the Phillies, hitting .297 with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs, and Carlos Santana for the Twins, with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs.
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Player Prop Odds
Trea Turner's prop odds for the upcoming game are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: 0.5 - Over 225.0
- Batter Hits: 1.5 - Over 150.0
- Batter Home Runs: 0.5 - Over 400.0
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 - Over 140.0
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 - Over -160.0
- Batter Singles: 0.5 - Over -165.0
- Batter Stolen Bases: 0.5 - Over 430.0
- Batter Total Bases: 1.5 - Over -140.0
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Player Analysis
Trea Turner has been a pivotal player for the Philadelphia Phillies this season. With a batting average of .339, 12 home runs, and 35 RBIs, Turner has shown remarkable consistency at the plate. His recent form is particularly noteworthy; in the last 10 games, he has gone 13-for-39 with five home runs and 12 RBIs. Turner's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Twins.
Opposing Analysis
The Minnesota Twins will have Bailey Ober on the mound, who has had an up-and-down season. With an 8-5 record, a 4.14 ERA, and 106 strikeouts, Ober has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been inconsistent. The Phillies' hitters, with their fifth-ranked .424 slugging percentage, could pose a challenge for Ober. Turner's speed and power make him a tough matchup for Ober, who will need to be at his best to contain the Phillies' offense.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | PHI | 10-4 | 2.76 | 112 |
| Bailey Ober | MIN | 8-5 | 4.14 | 106 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have a strong lineup that ranks ninth in hits (843) and seventh in runs (477). Their batting average of .253 is eighth in the majors. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th, and they have committed 46 errors, tied for 24th. Key players include Bryce Harper, who is hitting .297 with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs, and Trea Turner, who has been on fire recently.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have a potent offense, ranking third in hits (874) and fourth in runs (491), with a team batting average of .259. Their pitching staff boasts the best ERA in the majors at 3.44. However, they have committed 57 errors, tied for 10th. Carlos Santana and Carlos Correa are key players, with Santana hitting 14 home runs and Correa providing a recent spark with four home runs in the last 10 games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Marsh | LF | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
| M. Rucker | RP | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
| K. Farmer | 2B | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| C. Paddack | SP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| R. Lewis | 3B | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
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Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | 7:40 PM | NA |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | 7:40 PM | NA |
Minnesota Twins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | 7:40 PM | NA |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | 7:40 PM | NA |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | 1:10 PM | NA |
Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Trea Turner (-140.0)
Trea Turner has been in excellent form recently, and his ability to get on base makes him a solid pick for over 1.5 total bases. With Bailey Ober's inconsistent performance on the mound and Turner's recent hot streak, this prop bet offers good value.
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