Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 3:07 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -280
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (-135)
Tigers money line +225
Tigers run line +1.5 (+115)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers Toronto Blue Jays
Record 41-60 55-45
Home / road record 16-33 32-21
Last 10 record 4-6 8-2
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 38-57-6 53-45-1
Runs / game 3.23 4.89
Runs allowed / game 4.41 4.32

 

Preview

The Detroit Tigers and the Toronto Blue Jays will play the 3rd game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Saturday. The upset the Blue Jays in the second game of the series with Alek Manoah on the mound. Willi Castro homered for the second time in two games, Victor Reyes had three hits, and the Detroit Tigers beat the Toronto Blue Jays 4-2.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 41-60 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 3.23 runs and batting for .229 AVG, 320 runs scored in 746 hits and 59 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .287 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 38 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.41 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.67 ERA, 113 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Drew Hutchison (1-4, 4.84 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 3rd game of the series. Hutchison allowed four runs on six hits across 4.1 innings and did not factor into the decision in Monday's 12-4 win over the Padres. He walked two and struck out four. He has allowed 1 run on 4 hits with 1 walk and a strikeout in 4.1 innings against the Blue Jays in his career.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 55-45 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game and they're batting for .267 AVG, have 479 runs scored in 900 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the LA Dodgers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .282 ERA, 62 RBI and 21 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .317 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and rank #17 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.24 ERA and 110 strikeouts recording 11 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Ross Stripling (5-3, 3.10 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 3rd game of the series. Stripling did not factor into the decision against the Red Sox on Sunday, allowing two runs on five hits while striking out one and walking one over four innings. He has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00 and 8 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

Detroit are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the American League..

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 12 games against Detroit.

Toronto Blue Jays are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Blue Jays offense struggled against the Tigers bullpen and scored only 2 runs in the 2nd game of the series. They'll try to take the lead again in the series by sending Ross Stripling to the mound who has done a decent job this season and dominated the Tigers the last time, holding them to zero runs across 6 innings. The Tigers will send Drew Hutchison to start this game who has struggled this season and has allowed 4 runs in each of his last 2 starts. I expect the Blue Jays to bounce and get an easy win.

PICK: Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)

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