Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 28 (7/28): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2022, 4:38:21 AM
Credit: photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
|Time||7:07 p.m. EST|
|Blue Jays money line||-220|
|Blue Jays run line||-1.5 (-110)|
|Tigers money line||+180|
|Tigers run line||+1.5 (-110)|
|Over / under||8.5|
|Detroit Tigers||Toronto Blue Jays|
|Home / road record||15-32||31-20|
|Last 10 record||3-7||8-2|
|Over / under record||38-55-6||53-43-1|
|Runs / game||3.23||4.89|
|Runs allowed / game||4.41||4.32|
The Detroit Tigers and the Toronto Blue Jays will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays tied 1-1 in short series vs Cardinals and the Tigers beat the Padres 2 of 3 times. The Blue Jays are 2-1 against the Royals this season.
The Tigers get here with a 40-59 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 3.23 runs and batting for .229 AVG, 320 runs scored in 746 hits and 59 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .287 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 38 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 4.41 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.67 ERA, 113 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.
Tyler Alexander (2-3, 4.05 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 1st game of the series. Alexander made his fourth start of the season coming out of the All-Star break and acquitted himself well last Thursday against the Twins, tossing three scoreless frames and allowing one baserunner before turning the game over to the bullpen. Since he's not yet fully stretched back out, Alexander could be on a limited pitch count in his rematch Thursday with Toronto. He has an ERA of 2.16 and 9 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays get here with a 54-44 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game and they're batting for .267 AVG, have 479 runs scored in 900 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the LA Dodgers. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .282 ERA, 62 RBI and 21 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .317 AVG.
Defensively as they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and rank #17 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.24 ERA and 110 strikeouts recording 11 wins for the Jays.
Yusei Kikuchi (3-5, 5.12 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 1st game of the series. Kikuchi has been on the IL since July 7 due to a neck strain, but he began a rehab assignment last week and allowed two hits and three walks while striking out four in five scoreless innings during his lone minor-league start. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 5.63 and 15 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Tigers in his career.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
Detroit are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the American League..
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games against Detroit.
Toronto Blue Jays are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
These are 2 teams headed in opposite directions. The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in the league and have been playing great at home with a 31-20 record while the Tigers are the worst offense in the league and have been awful on the road with a 16-32 record. The thing is I don't really trust in Kikuchi as he has been pounded by the Tigers in his career and is holding a 5.12 ERA this season. On the other hand Tyler Alexander has been effective against the Blue Jays, although he won't pitch many innings on this game. The Tigers averaged over 6 runs per game in their last series and the Blue Jays score 4.8 runs per game so the best play here is the over.
PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)
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