Tobias Myers: MLB Player Props Best Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- Kingpin
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:26:30 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins (39-66) will be looking to extend their three-game road winning streak as they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (59-45) at American Family Field on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 PM EDT. The Marlins have been on a roll recently, winning seven of their last ten games and showing a solid batting average of .275. In contrast, the Brewers have been more inconsistent, going 5-5 in their last ten games with a batting average of .239.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in this season series, leading 4-1 against the Brewers. The Brewers, however, have a strong home record of 29-19, and they are particularly formidable when they manage to keep their opponents from hitting home runs, boasting a 25-6 record in such games.
The Marlins' recent form is bolstered by key performances from Bryan De La Cruz, who leads the team with 36 extra-base hits, including 18 home runs. Josh Bell has also been in fine form, going 12-for-38 with five home runs and 10 RBIs in the last ten games. On the Brewers' side, Rhys Hoskins has been a standout performer with 17 home runs, while Eric Haase has been hot recently, going 7-for-16 with three home runs and seven RBIs over the last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
Today's featured player prop odds focus on Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Tobias Myers:
- Pitcher to Record a Win: No -190, Yes +135
Player Analysis: Tobias Myers
Tobias Myers has been an essential part of the Brewers' rotation this season. With a 6-4 record, a 3.14 ERA, and 68 strikeouts in 77.1 innings pitched, Myers has shown he can be a reliable arm for Milwaukee. His WHIP of 1.15 indicates that he does a good job of limiting baserunners, and his ability to go deep into games has been a key factor for the Brewers' success.
Myers has been particularly effective at home, where he has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 2.87. Given the Marlins' struggles on the road, Myers is in a solid position to add another win to his tally. His recent form has been impressive, allowing just two earned runs over his last three starts, and he has been instrumental in keeping opposing hitters in check.
Opposing Analysis: Miami Marlins Batting
The Miami Marlins' offense has been a mixed bag this season. While they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly from Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell, they have also struggled with consistency. The Marlins rank 17th in hits and 29th in runs scored, indicating that they often have difficulty converting opportunities into runs.
Against pitchers like Tobias Myers, who excel at limiting baserunners and keeping the ball in the park, the Marlins could find themselves in a tough spot. Their road record of 17-32 further complicates their chances, as they have struggled to find success away from home.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins: The Marlins' offense has had its highs and lows, ranking 7th in hits but struggling to convert those into runs, sitting at 29th in the league. Their pitching has been more reliable, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. However, injuries have plagued their rotation, with several key pitchers on the IL.
Milwaukee Brewers: The Brewers have been solid overall, particularly in their pitching. With a team ERA of 4.48, they rank 25th, but their ability to limit home runs has been a significant factor in their success. Offensively, they have struggled with consistency, ranking 20th in batting average and 29th in runs. However, their home performance has been strong, with a 29-19 record at American Family Field.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | Win |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | Loss |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | Loss |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | Win |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | Loss |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | Win |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | Win |
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Prediction
Pick: Tobias Myers to Record a Win (+135)
Given Tobias Myers' current form and the Marlins' struggles on the road, the value here lies in betting on Myers to record a win. His ability to limit baserunners and keep the ball in the park, combined with the Brewers' strong home record, makes this an attractive proposition at +135 odds.
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