Tigers vs Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 3 (9/3): MLB

Tigers vs Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 3 (9/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Tigers money line +157
Tigers run line +1.5 (-125)
Reds money line -182
Reds run line -1.5 (+105)
Over / under 9.5 (+100)


Key stats
  Tigers Reds
Record 63-72 72-63
Road / home record 35-35 37-31
Last 10 record 4-6 4-6
Streak 1L 1W
Over / under record 59-72-4 69-60-6
Runs / game 4.30 4.98
Runs allowed / game 4.81 4.65



Today the Detroit Tigers will Travel to Cincy to take on the Reds.  The Tigers come into this game firmly out of the playoff race.  The Reds on the other hand are very much in the mix as they look to get a tighter grasp on the second NL wild card spot.   

Pitching matchup


Tyler Alexander (2-2, 4.34 ERA) will take the hill for the Tigers when they travel to Cincy.  Alexander has been very mediocre this season, coming into this game with a 1.27 WHIP and 5.03 XFIP.  He boasts a 19.5% strikeout rate, along with a 5.4% walk rate this season as a starter and reliever.  Alexander has allowed contact and power to right handed hitters, allowing a .218 ISO and .343 wOBA. He will need to contain these right handed bats that the Reds throw at him if he wants to find success today.


Vladimir Gutierrez (9-5, 4.03 ERA) will be on the mound for the Reds when they take on the Tigers.  Gutierrez enters this game with a 1.32 WHIP and 5.26 XFIP.  This season he carries a 19% strikeout rate, paired up with an 8.5% walk rate. Vlad has managed to have 9 quality starts in his last 12 outtings, before his last start against the Marlins he was able to rattle off 6 quality starts in a row.  The underlying statistics show that he's due some regression though, evidenced by his last start where the Marlins forced him out of the game after 3 innings of work. He will look to shake off his last start and pick up his 10th win of the season.  


The Reds come into this game with a projected lineup having a .202 ISO and .339 wOBA against left handed pitching this year, some very good numbers. Gutierrez is due to regress, as we saw in his last start. I'll look to target the total in this one. 

PICK: Over 9.5 (+100)

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