MLB Player Props Expert Picks: Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Angels (42-57, fourth in the AL West) travel to T-Mobile Park to face the Seattle Mariners (53-48, second in the AL West) on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup is the eighth meeting of the season between these division rivals, with the Mariners currently leading the season series 4-3.

Seattle has been stronger at home this season, boasting a 31-20 record at T-Mobile Park. They've been particularly effective when hitting multiple home runs in a game, with a 21-12 record in such contests. Despite some recent struggles, going 4-6 in their last 10 games, the Mariners have maintained a solid .231 batting average and a commendable 2.73 ERA over that span.

The Angels, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with a 20-28 record. Their recent form has been mixed, with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. During this stretch, they've managed a .245 batting average but have been let down by a high 5.97 ERA, being outscored by 22 runs.

Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths and address their weaknesses as they face off in this crucial series opener. Key players to watch include Cal Raleigh for the Mariners, who leads the team with 20 home runs, and Julio Rodriguez, who has been on fire with 14 hits, including three home runs, in his last 32 at-bats. For the Angels, Jo Adell and Zachary Neto have been standouts, with Adell contributing 24 extra-base hits this season and Neto hitting .400 over his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Taylor Ward Props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+170)

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Player Analysis

Taylor Ward has been a consistent performer for the Los Angeles Angels this season. With a current batting average of .236, Ward has shown the ability to get on base and contribute offensively. Over the past 10 games, Ward has maintained a steady performance, which includes multiple games with hits and runs scored. His versatility in hitting for both power and average makes him a crucial part of the Angels' lineup.

In particular, his ability to hit doubles and total bases makes the prop bets on these statistics intriguing. Given the odds, betting on Ward to get over 0.5 doubles (+440) or over 1.5 total bases (+170) could provide significant returns. His recent form and matchup against the Mariners' pitching staff will be key factors in determining his success in this game.

Opposing Analysis

The Seattle Mariners will be sending Bryce Miller to the mound. Miller has had a solid season so far, with a 7-7 record, a 3.63 ERA, and 98 strikeouts in 109 innings pitched. His WHIP of 1.06 indicates his ability to limit base runners effectively. However, Miller has allowed 15 home runs this season, which could be a point of exploitation for the Angels' hitters like Taylor Ward.

The Mariners' bullpen has also been a point of strength, with a team ERA of 4.72. However, they have shown vulnerability in late-game situations, which could be an opportunity for Ward and the Angels to capitalize on. The Mariners' defensive metrics are average, and their ability to contain the Angels' hitting will be crucial in this matchup.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Tyler Anderson (LAA)	8-8	2.97	1.17	118.0	91	81	47	14
Bryce Miller (SEA)	7-7	3.63	1.06	109.0	87	98	29	15

Team Previews

Los Angeles Angels

The Angels have struggled this season, particularly on the road with a 20-28 record. Their team batting average of .236 ranks 10th in the AL, and they have shown some power with players like Jo Adell and Taylor Ward contributing significantly. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 5.97 over the last 10 games. They will need a strong performance from their starter, Tyler Anderson, who has been a bright spot with an ERA of 2.97.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have been solid overall, especially at home with a 31-20 record. Their offense has been driven by power hitters like Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez. The pitching staff, led by Bryce Miller, has been effective with a 3.63 ERA. The bullpen, although reliable, has shown some late-game vulnerabilities. Defensively, the Mariners are average, and their ability to limit the Angels' offense will be key in this series.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jose Cisnero	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Jose Quijada	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
Nolan Schanuel	1B	Calf	Probable for Jul 22

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Julio Rodriguez	CF	Ankle	Expected to be out until at least Jul 23

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Result	W-L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Oakland	L 13-3	41-56
Sat, Jul 20	@ Oakland	L 8-2	41-57
Sun, Jul 21	@ Oakland	W 8-5	42-57
Mon, Jul 22	@ Seattle	9:40 PM	NaN
Tue, Jul 23	@ Seattle	9:40 PM	NaN

Date	Opponent	Result	W-L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Houston	L 3-0	52-47
Sat, Jul 20	vs Houston	L 4-2	52-48
Sun, Jul 21	vs Houston	W 6-4	53-48
Mon, Jul 22	vs Los Angeles	9:40 PM	NaN
Tue, Jul 23	vs Los Angeles	9:40 PM	NaN

Prediction

Pick: Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Given Taylor Ward's recent form and his matchup against Bryce Miller, who has allowed 15 home runs this season, the prop bet for Ward to exceed 1.5 total bases (+170) offers good value. Ward's ability to hit for power and the Angels' need for offensive production make this a strong pick.

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