St Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 18 (9/18): MLB

St Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 18 (9/18): MLB

 

Odds

Time 2:15 p.m. EST
Reds money line +225
Reds run line +1.5 (+100)
Cardinals money line -263
Cardinals run line -1.5 (-118)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Cincinnati Reds St Louis Cardinals
Record 57-87 85-60
Road / home record 28-44 49-26
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 72-68-4 70-70-5
Runs / game 4.24 4.96
Runs allowed / game 5.10 3.97

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the St Louis Cardinals will play the 3rd game of the series at the Busch Stadium on Saturday. The Cardinals took the win again 6-5 to tie the series. Albert Pujols hit his 698th home run, a tying two-run drive in the sixth inning to help the team to win the game.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 57-87 record and have lost 7 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.24 runs. They're batting for .241 AVG, 509 runs scored in 954 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Dbacks. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 55 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .269 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.10 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Cessa (3-3, 4.85 ERA)

Cessa will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Reds. He allowed six runs (four earned) on seven hits and three walks over five innings Monday, striking out five and taking a loss against the Pirates. He has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 6.12 and 44 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Cardinals in his career.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals get here with a 81-56 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs and and they're batting for .258 AVG, have 662 runs scored in 1178 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. Paul Goldschmidt leads the team with 34 home runs and batting for .335 AVG with 107 RBI so far.

Defensively they are allowing 3.97 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Adam Wainwright leads the pitching staff with a 3.21 ERA, 132 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Cards.

Probable Pitcher:  Jordan Montgomery (8-5, 3.26 ERA)

Montgomery will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Cardinals. He allowed 4 runs in 5 innings pitched in the 8-4 loss vs Brewers. He has only 1 start vs Reds in his career where he allowed 1 run across 6.2 innings.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Cincinnati are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against St. Louis.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.

Cincinnati are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

St. Louis are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis' last 7 games against Cincinnati.

St. Louis are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Reds have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are already eliminated but still they scored 5 runs in their last game and will face Montogomery who has been great with the Cards but struggled in his last start. Luis Cessa will start for the Reds who has been up and down this season and the Reds have lost twice vs Cardinals with him on the mound. This should be a close game as both starters will have strong performances, take the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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