MLB Player Prop Prediction: Dodgers vs Astros - 7/28

Photo Credit: © Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-44) will be taking on the Houston Astros (55-49) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The game is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers are looking to snap their four-game road losing streak in this matchup.

The Astros have been a formidable team at home with a 30-21 record and hold a 55-49 overall standing. Their offense has been impressive, boasting a collective .321 on-base percentage, which ranks ninth in MLB. On the other hand, the Dodgers have been solid on the road with a 28-24 record and an overall 62-44 standing. Their pitching staff has been reliable, ranking tenth in the majors with a 3.81 ERA.

This game will mark the third meeting between these two teams this season. The Astros have won the first two meetings, including a 5-0 victory on July 26 and a close 7-6 win on July 27. Key performers for the Astros include Yordan Alvarez, who has hit 20 home runs and boasts a .300 batting average, and Jeremy Pena, who has been hot in the last 10 games, going 14-for-37 with two home runs. The Dodgers' standout players include Shohei Ohtani with 32 home runs and a .318 average, and Gavin Lux, who has been hitting .414 over the last 10 games.

Player Prop Odds

For Spencer Arrighetti to record a win:

No: -270

Yes: +190

Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Player Analysis

Spencer Arrighetti has had a challenging season so far, holding a 4-8 record with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. Despite his struggles, he has managed to strike out 96 batters in 86 innings. However, his high walk rate (45 walks) and susceptibility to the long ball (11 home runs allowed) have been major issues.

Arrighetti will need to improve his command and limit the damage if he hopes to secure a win against a potent Dodgers lineup. His last few outings have shown some improvement, but consistency remains a concern.

Opposing Analysis

The Dodgers' offense is one of the most dangerous in the league. They rank second in hits (927) and batting average (.262), and tenth in runs scored (483). Key hitters like Shohei Ohtani and Gavin Lux have been in excellent form, making it a tough matchup for any pitcher. Ohtani's power and Lux's recent hot streak will be challenging for Arrighetti to navigate.

Pitching Probables

Unlock detailed analysis! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
R. Ryan	0-0	0.00	1.31	5.1	4	2	3	0
S. Arrighetti	4-8	5.65	1.58	86.0	91	96	45	11

Team Previews

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have been excellent this season, thanks to their balanced attack. Their offense, led by Shohei Ohtani, ranks second in hits and batting average. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, ranking tenth in team ERA (3.81). However, the team has struggled with injuries, with key players like Mookie Betts and Max Muncy on the IL.

Houston Astros

The Astros have been strong, particularly at home. Their offense has been effective, ranking ninth in on-base percentage (.321). Despite some pitching struggles, they have managed to stay competitive. Injuries have also plagued the Astros, with several key pitchers like Justin Verlander and Cristian Javier on the IL.

Team Injuries

Dodgers Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Chris Taylor	SS	Sat, Jul 27	Groin	10-Day IL
Miguel Rojas	SS	Sat, Jul 27	Forearm	10-Day IL

Astros Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Justin Verlander	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Neck	15-Day IL
Cristian Javier	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Forearm	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Stay updated on team performance. Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Boston	W 4-1	Win
Sat, Jul 20	vs Boston	W 7-6 (11)	Win
Sun, Jul 21	vs Boston	W 9-6	Win
Mon, Jul 22	vs San Francisco	W 3-2	Win
Tue, Jul 23	vs San Francisco	W 5-2	Win

Astros Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Seattle	W 3-0	Win
Sat, Jul 20	@ Seattle	W 4-2	Win
Sun, Jul 21	@ Seattle	L 6-4	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	@ Oakland	L 4-0	Loss
Tue, Jul 23	@ Oakland	L 8-2	Loss

Prediction

Given Spencer Arrighetti's struggles this season and the potent Dodgers lineup, it seems unlikely that Arrighetti will be able to secure a win in this matchup. The Dodgers' offense is strong, and Arrighetti's inconsistency makes it a tough task.

Get more expert picks!

Scan to Download the iOS App

Scan to Download the Android App