Shohei Ohtani Player Props: Dodgers vs Athletics 8/3

Mr Wager
Aug 3, 2024, 12:49:04 PM

Photo Credit: © Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-47) visit the Oakland Athletics (46-65) on Saturday, August 3, 2024, at the Oakland Coliseum, with the game starting at 9:07 PM EDT. The Dodgers are looking to snap a three-game road losing streak against the Athletics, who have shown a bit of resilience lately, boasting a 7-3 record in their last ten games. In terms of overall performance, the Athletics have a 27-27 record at home, while the Dodgers are slightly worse on the road with a 29-27 record. Despite the Dodgers maintaining a strong .332 on-base percentage, they have struggled offensively, with only a .218 batting average over their last ten games, which raises concerns about their current form.

Historically, the Dodgers hold an advantage in their matchups against the Athletics, but recent trends suggest that Oakland might be a tougher opponent this time around. The key players to watch include Shohei Ohtani, who has been an offensive force with 33 home runs and 79 RBIs, and Brent Rooker, who has 27 home runs for the Athletics. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair depending on the effectiveness of the starting pitchers.

This matchup features Jack Flaherty (LAD) with a 7-5 record and a 2.95 ERA, and Mitch Spence (OAK), who is 7-6 with a 4.47 ERA. Flaherty has been particularly effective this season, evidenced by his 133 strikeouts and a WHIP of 0.96, while Spence has had a solid outing with 78 strikeouts but allows more runs on average.

Player Prop Odds

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310), Under -475
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+169)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+225)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130), Under -175
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-165), Under +120
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120), Under -165
Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+370), Under -600
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-139), Under +107

Player Analysis

Shohei Ohtani has been a standout player for the Dodgers this season, demonstrating incredible offensive capabilities. With a batting average of .308, he has accumulated 33 home runs, 28 doubles, and 79 RBIs. His power hitting makes him a constant threat, particularly in games where he faces pitchers with higher ERAs like Mitch Spence, who has a tendency to allow runs. Ohtani’s recent form is impressive; he has consistently made impactful plays, making him a prime candidate for prop bets on home runs and total bases in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

The Athletics have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, which adds an interesting dynamic to this matchup as they face Jack Flaherty. Oakland’s hitters have a combined batting average of .251, but against pitchers like Flaherty, who has a stellar 2.95 ERA, they may face challenges. Brent Rooker is the one to watch as he leads the Athletics with 27 home runs, but the rest of the batting lineup must step up to support him against a strong Dodgers pitching staff.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jack Flaherty (LAD)	7-5	2.95	133
Mitch Spence (OAK)	7-6	4.47	78

Team Previews

The Los Angeles Dodgers are currently first in the NL West and are looking to regain momentum after a recent losing streak. Their hitting has been below average with a .232 batting average, but their on-base percentage of .332 is second in the league, suggesting they can still generate scoring opportunities. The Dodgers’ starting pitching has been solid, with Flaherty leading the charge with a low ERA and high strikeout rate.

On the other hand, the Oakland Athletics sit at fifth in the AL West. They have shown flashes of offensive prowess, especially at home with a 27-27 record. Their batting average of .251 and run total of 539 rank them fourth in the league. However, their pitching staff has been inconsistent, which could be exploited by the potent Dodgers lineup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Tommy Edman	SS	60-Day IL (Wrist)
Chris Taylor	OF	10-Day IL (Groin)
Mookie Betts	OF	10-Day IL (Hand)
Jacob Wilson	SS	Expected to be out until at least Aug 30 (Hamstring)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ San Diego	L 6-5	L
@ San Diego	L 8-1	L
@ Oakland	L 6-5	L
@ Houston	L 7-6	L
@ Houston	L 5-0	L

Prediction

Given Ohtani's current form, the matchup against Spence, and the recent struggles of the Dodgers' lineup, we recommend betting on Ohtani to hit over 0.5 home runs (+225). With his high power and Spence's vulnerability to giving up home runs, this prop bet appears to have a strong likelihood of hitting. Additionally, consider betting on Ohtani to record over 1.5 total bases, as he has consistently found ways to get on base and score runs.

Pick: Ohtani Over 0.5 Home Runs (+225)

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