Seth Brown MLB Props - Astros vs Athletics 7/22
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Seth Brown MLB Props - Astros vs Athletics 7/22

 

Seth Brown's MLB Props - Astros vs Athletics 7/22

Game Summary

The Houston Astros will face off against the Oakland Athletics on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 9:40 PM EDT at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. The Astros, who currently hold a 52-47 record and are first in the AL West, will look to maintain their dominance over the Athletics, who sit at 39-62, fifth in the AL West. Houston has had the upper hand this season, leading the series 6-1 against Oakland. This game follows an exciting performance from Yordan Alvarez, who hit for the cycle against the Seattle Mariners on Sunday.

The Athletics have a 24-26 record at home and a 39-62 record overall. They have struggled significantly in games where they have allowed at least one home run, with a 21-42 record in such situations. On the other hand, the Astros have a similar 24-26 record on the road but have managed to secure a 52-47 record overall. However, they've been less effective in close games, with a 7-17 record in games decided by one run.

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Player Prop Odds

The following are the player prop odds for Seth Brown in this matchup:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+130)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

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Player Analysis

Seth Brown has been one of the key performers for the Oakland Athletics. While his season stats haven’t been stellar overall, he has shown moments of brilliance. Brown has managed to hit 19 doubles, two triples, and 22 home runs, contributing significantly with 67 RBIs. Over the past 10 games, his performance has been notable, going 16-for-37 with three doubles, a triple, five home runs, and 18 RBIs. This recent surge in form makes him a player to watch in the upcoming game against the Astros.

Opposing Analysis

For Houston, Spencer Arrighetti will take the mound. Arrighetti has had a challenging season with a 4-7 record, a 5.63 ERA, and a 1.60 WHIP over 80 innings pitched. He has allowed 84 hits, 11 home runs, and has 93 strikeouts. Given these stats, the Athletics hitters, including Brown, might find opportunities to capitalize on Arrighetti’s struggles, particularly his tendency to give up home runs.

Pitching Probables

Here are the probable pitchers for the game:

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) 4-7 5.63 1.60 80.0 84 93 44 11
Hogan Harris (OAK) 1-3 3.40 1.45 47.2 46 35 23 6

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Team Previews

Houston Astros

The Astros have been relatively consistent this season with a 52-47 record. Their hitting has been below average, ranking 28th in batting average at .230 and 26th in hits with 773. However, their pitching has been a mix of highs and lows; their team ERA stands at 4.44, ranking 24th in the league. The bullpen has managed 18 saves, ranking 28th, but they have struggled in close games, which is evident in their 7-17 record in one-run games.

Oakland Athletics

Oakland has faced a challenging season but has shown sparks of brilliance. They rank 2nd in hits with 888 and have a decent batting average of .261, ranking 1st in the league. Their pitching has been more robust, with a team ERA of 4.00, ranking 16th. The Athletics’ bullpen has managed 25 saves, which is tied for 15th in the league. Their fielding has been problematic, however, as they rank 29th in errors with 41.

Team Injuries

Houston Astros

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Victor Caratini C Hip 10-Day IL
Justin Verlander SP Neck 15-Day IL
Cristian Javier SP Forearm 60-Day IL
Kyle Tucker RF Shin 10-Day IL
Jose Urquidy SP Forearm 60-Day IL

Oakland Athletics

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Jacob Wilson SS Hamstring 10-Day IL
Luis Medina SP Elbow 15-Day IL
Tyler Soderstrom C Undisclosed 10-Day IL

Recent Games

Houston Astros

Opponent Score W/L
@ Seattle W 3-0 W
@ Seattle W 4-2 W
@ Seattle L 6-4 L
@ Oakland    
@ Oakland    

Oakland Athletics

Opponent Score W/L
vs Los Angeles W 13-3 W
vs Los Angeles W 8-2 W
vs Los Angeles L 8-5 L
vs Houston    
vs Houston    

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Prediction

Given Seth Brown’s recent hot streak and Spencer Arrighetti’s struggles on the mound, the prop bet for Seth Brown to have over 1.5 total bases (+155) looks promising. Brown's ability to hit for extra bases combined with Arrighetti’s high ERA and WHIP makes this a favorable bet.

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