San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 30 (8/30): MLB

San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 30 (8/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 9:45 p.m. EST
Giants money line -130
Giants run line -1.5 (+135)
Padres money line +108
Padres run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres
Record 61-66 71-59
Home / road record 34-30 36-31
Last 10 record 2-8 5-5
Streak L5 W1
Over / under record 59-59-8 59-66-4
Runs / game 4.41 4.42
Runs allowed / game 4.43 4.09

 

Preview

The San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres will play the 2nd game of the series at the Oracle Park on Tuesday night. The Padres took the win 6-5 in the first game of the series and are 9-5 vs Giants so far this season. Brandon Drury hit a two-run homer in the first inning and later added an RBI single, leading Clevinger and the Padres to the victory.

 

San Francisco Giants

The Giants get here with a 61-66 record and have lost their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.41 runs per game and they're batting for .233 AVG, 556 runs scored in 974 hits and 142 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Joc Pederson leads the team with 18 home runs and 48 RBI. Thairo Estrada is batting for an average of .256.

Defensively they are allowing 4.43 runs per game and rank #19 in the league. Carlos Rodon leads the pitching staff with a 2.81 ERA, 189 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Logan Webb (11-7, 3.33 ERA) will be on the mound for the Giants in the 2nd game of the series. Webb allowed six earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six across 4.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Tigers. He is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.14 and 36 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 71-59 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.42 runs per game and they're batting for .243 AVG, have 570 runs scored in 1058 hits and 117 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Manny Machado is leading the team with 24 home runs and 81 RBI and a batting average of .304.

Defensively they are allowing 4.09 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.96 ERA, 138 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Yu Darvish (11-7, 3.41 ERA)

Darvish will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Padres. Darvish earned the win against the Royals on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out six and walking two over seven innings. He has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 6.29 and 56 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Giants in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against San Francisco.

San Diego are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.

San Francisco are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

San Francisco are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Giants have now lost 5 games in a row and 5 of their last 7 games at home vs Padres. For this game they'll send Logan Webb to the mound who has struggled lately allowing 9 runs in his last 9.1 innings pitched and the Giants have lost in 5 of his last 7 starts but he has dominated the Padres this season. The Padres offense continue to stay hot as they have scored 7.3 runs per game in the last 4. For this game they'll send Yu Darvish to the mound who hasn't been that great lately allowing at least 3 runs in each of his last 3 starts. Both pitchers have struggled in their last outings and with the offenses hot I think the total has been set too low. Take the over. 

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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