San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Credit: photo by Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:08 p.m. EST
Giants money line -195
Giants run line -1.5 (+110)
Cubs money line +160
Cubs run line +1.5 (-130)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs
Record 50-51 41-59
Home / road record 28-23 21-27
Last 10 record 2-8 7-3
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 47-47-6 44-49-7
Runs / game 4.65 4.29
Runs allowed / game 4.36 4.97

 

Preview

The San Francisco Giants and the Chicago Cubs will play the 4th game of the series at the Oracle Park on Sunday night. The Giants took the win 5-4 on Saturday's game to take the lead 2-1 on the series. Luis González and Joey Bart homered on consecutive pitches in the fourth inning.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants get here with a 50-51 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game and they're batting for .236 AVG, 450 runs scored in 745 hits and 114 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Joc Pederson leads the team with 17 home runs and 43 RBI. Thairo Estrada is batting for an average of .260.

Defensively they are allowing 4.36 runs per game and rank #18 in the league. Carlos Rodon leads the pitching staff with a 3.18 ERA, 148 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Carlos Rodon (8-6, 3.18 ERA) will be on the mound for the Giants in the 4th game of the series. Tuesday's 7-3 loss to the Diamondbacks all Rodon's (8-6) fault; in six innings of work, he gave up five runs on three hits, two walks, and 10 strikeouts. He has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 4.74 and 32 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Cubs in his career.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 41-59 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.27 runs per game. They're batting for .244 AVG, 386 runs scored in 761 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 46 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.

Defensively they are allowing 4.97 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.45 ERA, 75 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher:  Adrian Sampson (0-1, 3.20 ERA)

Sampson will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Cubs. In the seven innings of Monday's 3-2 victory over the Pirates, Sampson gave up two runs on six hits, but he was not considered for the decision. He had one walk and three strikeouts.

BETTING TRENDS

Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs' last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.

San Francisco Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games played on a Sunday.

Prediction

The Cubs are giving quite a fight to the struggling Giants on this series as they have lost for 1 and 2 runs. They're sending Adrian Sampson to the mound who has done a decent job so far in his 6 starts this season. Carlos Rodon will get the ball for the Giants who has struggled lately but dominated the Cubs the last time they met. This is a perfect spot for Rodon to bounce back a get a good start at home but Sampson should keep this game close for the Cubs so I think the best play is the under. 

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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