San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 19 (10/19): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 19 (10/19): MLB

Odds

Time 4:35 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +105
Phillies run line +1.5 (-210)
Padres money line -125
Padres run line -1.5 (+175)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  San Diego Padres
Record 93-76 94-76
Home / road record 44-42 46-38
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 85-78-6 80-83-6
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 2 of the National League Championship Series at the Petco Park on Wednesday. The Phillies took the win 2-0 in the first game of the series. Harper hit his fourth homer this postseason and Schwarber hit a jaw-dropping, 488-foot drive. 

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 93-76 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. Nola earned the win against the Astros on Monday, allowing no runs on two hits and no walks with nine strikeouts over 6.2 innings. He is 2-4 with an ERA of 3.11 and 61 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 94-76 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 705 runs scored in 1318 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado is leading the team with 32 home runs and 102 RBI and a batting average of .296.

Defensively they are allowing 4.05 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Yu Darvish leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 197 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA)

Snell will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Padres. Snell pitched great in his last start against the Dodgers allowing only 1 run across 5 innings. He has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 4.91 and 21 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against San Diego.

Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games.

San Diego are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 16 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

 

Prediction

The Padres couldn't do much against a great performance from Wheeler and the Phillies bullpen who held them to zero runs in Game 1 and they'll now have to face Aaron Nola who has been insane lately allowing only 1 run in his last 19.1 innings pitched. Blake Snell will take the mound for the Padres who has been pretty good lately but has struggled against the Phillies in his career. With the Phillies offense on fire and Nola on the mound I think we get great value again with them as underdogs. Take the Phillies.

PICK: Phillies ML (+105)

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