San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 18 (10/18): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 18, 2022, 7:26:38 AM
|Time||8:03 p.m. EST|
|Phillies money line||+105|
|Phillies run line||+1.5 (-200)|
|Padres money line||-125|
|Padres run line||-1.5 (+170)|
|Over / under||6.5|
|Philadelphia Phillies||San Diego Padres|
|Home / road record||43-42||46-37|
|Last 10 record||7-3||7-3|
|Over / under record||85-77-6||80-83-6|
|Runs / game||4.61||4.36|
|Runs allowed / game||4.20||4.05|
The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet to play the Game 1 of the National League Championship Series at the Petco Park on Tuesday night. The Phillies destroyed the Braves in the Divisional Series beating them in 4 games while the Padres beat the Dodgers who were the favorites to win the World Series this year.
The Phillies get to this game with a 92-76 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.
Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.
Probable Pitcher: Zack Wheeler (10-10, 3.94 ERA)
Wheeler will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Phillies. Wheeler pitched well for most of his Game 2 start on Wednesday, though a two-out rally in the sixth inning involving a hit-by-pitch, a walk and a trio of singles wound up leading to a loss. He has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 2.06 and 53 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Padres in his career.
San Diego Padres
The Padres get here with a 94-75 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 705 runs scored in 1318 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado is leading the team with 32 home runs and 102 RBI and a batting average of .296.
Defensively they are allowing 4.05 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Yu Darvish leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 197 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Padres.
Probable Pitcher: Yu Darvish (16-10, 3.10 ERA)
Darvish will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Padres. Darvish has been relatively effective over his first two postseason starts, posting a 3.00 ERA, 11:2 K:BB and 1.25 WHIP in 12 innings. He is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.23 and 55 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.
Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Philadelphia are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against San Diego.
Philadelphia are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
Philadelphia are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego's last 15 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games at home.
San Diego are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
The Phillies offense exploded in the series against the Braves as they scored 17 runs in the last 2 wins. Wheeler will start for the Phillies who struggled a bit vs Braves but dominated the Padres earlier in the regular season holding them to zero runs across 7 innings pitched. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Padres who has been pretty good lately and the Padres have won in 8 of his last 9 starts but lost the last time he faced the Phillies allowing 3 runs in 6 innings. With the Phillies offense on fire and Wheeler on the mound I think we get great value with them as underdogs. Take the Phillies.
PICK: Phillies ML (+105)
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