San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 19 (5/19): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 19 (5/19): MLB

Credit: photo by Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Padres money line +100
Padres  run line +1.5 (-185)
Phillies money line -120
Phillies run line -1.5 (+160)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  San Diego Padres  Philadelphia Phillies
Record 23-14 18-19
Road / home record 13-7 10-10
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 18-19 19-16-2
Runs / game 4.53 4.78
Runs allowed / game 4.00 4.36

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Phillies got the win on Wednesday 3-0 to tie the series.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 23-14 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.53 runs per game with a .226 at bat while allowing 4 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 7 home runs and 24 RBI and a batting average of .353.

Snell lasted 3 2/3 innings and gave up three hits, three runs and struck out five in his first appearance since Sept. 12, 2021.

Probable Pitcher:

Yu Darvish (3-1, 4.62 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 3rd game of the series. Darvish didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 11-6 win over Atlanta, giving up five runs on nine hits and a walk over 5.2 innings while striking out four. He had one start agains the Phillies last season and allowed 4 runs across 6 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 18-19 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.78 runs per game while allowing 4.36 runs. Bryce Harper leads the team with  home runs and 27 RBI batting for .305 avg.

Wheeler struck out a season-high nine over seven shutout innings in the Phillies win.

Probable Pitcher: 

Kyle Gibson (3-1, 4.10 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Gibson didn't factor into the decision during Friday's 12-10 victory over the Dodgers, allowing six runs on eight hits and one walk with one strikeout in 3.2 innings. In his last start against the Padres he allowed only 1 run across 8 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 13 games on the road.

Philadelphia are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games against San Diego.

Prediction

The Padres couldn't do much against Wheeler in the second of the series but they're still one of the best offenses in the National league and have been profitable on the road. The Phillies are just 10-10 at home and 14-15 against teams in the National. I like the value on the Padres.

PICK: Padres ML (+100)

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