San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 3 (8/3): MLB

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 3 (8/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 10:10 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +148
Rockies run line +1.5 (-130)
Padres money line -180
Padres run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres
Record 46-57 57-46
Road / home record 16-30 27-22
Last 10 record 3-7 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 48-49-6 46-53-3
Runs / game 4.52 4.36
Runs allowed / game 5.31 3.26

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres will meet again to play a 5-game series at the Petco Park. The Rockies lost their last series against the Dodgers while the Padres beat the Twins 2 of 3 times but are 3-8 against the Rockies this season.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 46-57 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game and they're batting for .261 AVG, have 466 runs scored in 923 hits and 93 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. CJ Cron is leading the team with 22 home runs and 71 RBI and a batting average of .277.

Defensively they are allowing 5.31 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. German Marquez leads the pitching staff with a 5.29 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:

Jose Urena (1-3, 4.66 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rockies in the 1st game of the series. Urena was removed from Wednesday's start against the White Sox after being hit by a comebacker on the left foot in the top of the seventh inning. He has an 8-3 record with an ERA of 3.17 and 54 strikeouts in 18 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 57-46 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .240 AVG, have 449 runs scored in 835 hits and 89 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Manny Machado is leading the team with 18 home runs and 57 RBI and a batting average of .293.

Defensively they are allowing 4.07 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.65 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Reiss Knehr (0-0, 1.50 ERA)

Reiss will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Padres. Knehr struck out five batters in seven innings, allowing two runs on six hits and a walk in a 6-4 extra-inning win in Detroit on Tuesday. He did not factor in the decision. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 8.27 and 20 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Rockies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Colorado Rockies are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against San Diego.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against Colorado.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 10 games but have faced tough teams like the Brewers, White Sox and Dodgers but have dominated the Padres this season. They'll send Urena to the mound who already beat the Padres earlier this season holding them to only 1 run across 6 innings. The Padres are 5-5 in their last 10 games and 1-8 in the last 9 vs Rockies. Reiss Knehr will start for San Diego who has been solid lately but has struggled against the Rockies in his career holding a high 8.27 ERA in 4 games. The Padres haven't been profitable against the spread at home with a 14-34 record so we can get the Rockies at a cheap price with the run line. 

PICK: Rockies +1.5 (-120)

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