MLB Player Props Forecast: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Game Summary:

The Chicago Cubs will host the Milwaukee Brewers to kick off a three-game series on Monday, July 22nd, 2024, at the iconic Wrigley Field. Scheduled for an 8:05 PM EDT start, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter between two National League Central teams. The Cubs, currently 48-53 and fourth in the NL Central, have a respectable 26-23 record at home and have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, particularly when they record eight or more hits in a game. The Brewers, on the other hand, are leading the NL Central with a 57-42 record and have been robust on the road with a 28-25 record. Milwaukee's on-base percentage of .332 is the second-best in the NL, showcasing their ability to get runners on base and create scoring opportunities.

Historically, the Brewers have had the upper hand in this season series, leading 6-4. The Cubs will be looking to leverage their home field advantage to close the gap. Both teams come into this game with contrasting recent form; the Cubs have won six of their last ten games with a .272 batting average and a 2.43 ERA, while the Brewers have split their last ten games with a .245 batting average and a 4.21 ERA. Key players to watch include William Contreras for the Brewers, who has eleven home runs and a .284 batting average, and Willy Adames, who has been on fire lately with six doubles, two home runs, and ten RBIs in the last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds:

Sal Frelick:

Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+460)

Batter Hits Over 1.5 (+270)

Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+180)

Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+120)

Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-155)

Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.5 (+370)

Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+165)

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Player Analysis:

Sal Frelick has been a noteworthy performer for the Milwaukee Brewers this season. With a current batting average of .284, Frelick has proven to be a consistent hitter at the plate. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been crucial for the Brewers. Frelick has accumulated eleven home runs and has shown an eye for drawing walks, with thirty-eight walks to his name. Over his last ten games, Frelick has been particularly impressive, going 16-for-40 with six doubles, two home runs, and ten RBIs. His slugging percentage of .465 indicates his ability to hit for power and his on-base percentage of .332 showcases his plate discipline. Frelick's speed also adds another dimension to his game, making him a threat on the base paths.

 

Opposing Analysis:

The Chicago Cubs will be sending Javier Assad to the mound to face the Brewers. Assad has a 4-3 record with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP this season. While Assad has been effective overall, the Brewers' lineup has the potential to challenge him. The Cubs' bullpen has been reliable, ranking third in the league with thirty-three saves. However, their pitching staff will need to be at their best to contain a potent Brewers offense that ranks second in the NL in on-base percentage. The Cubs' defense has been solid, with fifty-two errors on the season, ranking fifteenth in the league. The key for the Cubs will be to limit the Brewers' opportunities and keep their hitters off the bases.

 

Pitching Probables:

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
T. Myers (MIL)	6-3	3.13	1.13	72.0	61	62	20	10
J. Assad (CHC)	4-3	3.27	1.35	85.1	80	79	35	12

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Team Previews:

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers have been a strong team this season, particularly on the road where they have a 28-25 record. Their team batting average of .233 ranks 25th in the league, but their ability to get on base with a .332 on-base percentage has been a key factor in their success. The Brewers' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.76 ranking 10th in the league. Their bullpen has been effective, recording 22 saves, tying them for 22nd in the league. Defensively, the Brewers have committed 53 errors, ranking 14th in the league. Key players to watch include William Contreras, who leads the team with 11 home runs and a .284 batting average, and Willy Adames, who has been in excellent form recently with six doubles, two home runs, and ten RBIs in his last ten games.

Chicago Cubs:

The Cubs have a solid home record of 26-23 and have been a strong offensive team, ranking 7th in the league with 861 hits and 6th in runs scored with 482. Their team batting average of .255 is 4th in the league. The Cubs' pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.81, ranking 11th in the league, and their bullpen has been exceptional, recording 33 saves, the 3rd most in the league. Defensively, the Cubs have committed 52 errors, ranking 15th in the league. Key players to watch include Christian Yelich, who leads the team with a .320 batting average, and Willy Adames, who leads the team with 15 home runs and 67 RBIs.

 

Team Injuries:

Player	Position	Injury Status
Enoli Paredes	RP	Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Player	Position	Injury Status
Luke Little	RP	Out for the season

 

Recent Games:

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Sat, Jul 20	@ Minnesota	W8-4 F/12	56-42	Junis 2-0	Okert 3-1	NaN	41679
Sun, Jul 21	@ Minnesota	W8-7	57-42	Koenig 8-1	Jax 3-4	Megill 19	36327
Mon, Jul 22	@ Chicago	8:05 PM	NaN	Myers	Assad	Tickets as low as $27	Tickets as low as $27
Tue, Jul 23	@ Chicago	8:05 PM	NaN	Rea	Taillon	Tickets as low as $27	Tickets as low as $27
Wed, Jul 24	@ Chicago	2:20 PM	NaN	NaN	Steele	Tickets as low as $26	Tickets as low as $26

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L5-2	47-52	Nelson 7-6	Steele 2-4	Sewald 14	40691
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L3-0	47-53	Gallen 7-5	Hendricks 2-8	Sewald 15	39595
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W2-1 F/10	48-53	Neris 8-2	Mantiply 3-2	NaN	39162
Mon, Jul 22	vs Milwaukee	8:05 PM	NaN	Assad	Myers	Tickets as low as $27	Tickets as low as $27
Tue, Jul 23	vs Milwaukee	8:05 PM	NaN	Taillon	Rea	Tickets as low as $27	Tickets as low as $27

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Prediction:

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