Romy Gonzalez MLB Props - Red Sox vs Rockies 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 11:43:00 PM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies
By Data Skrive
Jul 22, 2024, 04:01 am
Boston Red Sox (53-45, third in the AL East) vs. Colorado Rockies (36-64, fifth in the NL West)
Venue: Coors Field, Denver
Date: Monday, 8:40 p.m. EDT
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will travel to Denver to open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Red Sox are currently holding a 53-45 record, placing them third in the AL East, while the Rockies struggle at the bottom of the NL West with a 36-64 record. Boston has performed well on the road, boasting a 29-20 record, and they will look to capitalize on that as they face a Rockies team that has had a tough season.
Boston's recent form has been a bit shaky, having lost their last three games against the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, they have a good record when they outhit their opponents, winning 41 out of 47 such games. The Rockies, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, although they managed to win two out of three games in their recent series against the San Francisco Giants.
Key performers for the Rockies include Brenton Doyle, who has 16 doubles, two triples, and 16 home runs, and Ezequiel Tovar, who has been on fire recently, going 15-for-42 with four doubles and four home runs in the last 10 games. For the Red Sox, Jarren Duran shines with 30 doubles, 10 triples, and 12 home runs, while Ceddanne Rafaela has also been productive lately with two doubles, a triple, and a home run in his last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
- Romy Gonzalez Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+225)
- Romy Gonzalez Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+145)
- Romy Gonzalez Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Romy Gonzalez Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+350)
- Romy Gonzalez Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-175)
- Romy Gonzalez Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-140)
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Player Analysis
Romy Gonzalez has been a key contributor for the Red Sox this season. With a batting average of .253, he has managed to hit one home run and drive in 10 RBIs in 79 at-bats. Despite facing some challenges, Gonzalez has displayed the ability to get on base and contribute offensively. His prop for total bases set at 1.5 seems achievable, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Coors Field.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Gonzalez will be Rockies pitcher Austin Gomber. Gomber has had a mixed season, with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, allowing 67 strikeouts. He has struggled at times, especially against right-handed hitters, who have a higher batting average against him. Given these stats, Gonzalez has a favorable matchup and could exploit Gomber's weaknesses.
Pitching Probables
Red Sox: Tanner Houck (8-6, 2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 112 strikeouts)
Rockies: Austin Gomber (2-6, 4.61 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 67 strikeouts)
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have been solid offensively, ranking 13th in hits with 821 and 14th in team batting average at .243. Their pitching, however, has been a different story, with a team ERA of 5.51, which is the worst in the league. Their relief pitching has also struggled, ranking 24th in saves.
Colorado Rockies
On the other hand, the Rockies have excelled in hitting, ranking 6th in hits with 862 and 5th in team batting average at .255. Their pitching has been better than Boston's, with a team ERA of 3.71, ranking 8th in the league, and their bullpen has been effective, ranking 11th in saves with 26.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | LF | Day-to-day (shoulder) |
| Justin Slaten | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Triston Casas | 1B | 60-Day IL (rib) |
| Kris Bryant | 1B | 10-Day IL (rib) |
| Jordan Beck | RF | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 (11) | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| @ Colorado | 8:40 PM | |
| @ Colorado | 8:40 PM |
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Francisco | W 7-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 4-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | L 3-2 | L |
| vs Boston | 8:40 PM | |
| vs Boston | 8:40 PM |
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Prediction
Pick: Romy Gonzalez Over 1.5 Total Bases (-140)
Given the favorable hitting conditions at Coors Field and Gonzalez's ability to get on base, the Over 1.5 Total Bases seems like a solid pick. Austin Gomber’s struggles against right-handed hitters further support this prediction.
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