Rockies vs Reds Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/4

Rockies vs Reds Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/4

© Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies

The Cincinnati Reds face off against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Reds are looking to improve their road record, while the Rockies aim to leverage their home-field advantage.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 4, 2024
  • Time: 5:40 PM
  • Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
  • Gametime Weather: 83°F

Team Breakdown:

Cincinnati Reds:

The Reds come into this game with a 26-33 record and a 12-16 record on the road. Frankie Montas is the probable starting pitcher for Cincinnati.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Elly De La Cruz (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: Spencer Steer (.234 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Spencer Steer (35 RBI)

Frankie Montas has a 2-4 record, a 4.60 ERA, and a 1.40 WHIP over 47 innings. While his numbers are less impressive, his ability to strike out batters can be a key factor.

Colorado Rockies:

The Rockies are currently 21-37 with a 13-14 home record. Ty Blach is set to start for Colorado.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Ryan McMahon (10 HR)
  • Batting Average: Elias Diaz (.301 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Ryan McMahon (34 RBI)

Ty Blach has a 2-2 record with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 34.2 innings. Despite decent statistics, Coors Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark, which can affect his performance.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
CIN (26-33) -135 o10.5 (-120) -1.5 (+115)
COL (21-37) +115 u10.5 (EVEN) +1.5 (-135)

 

Prediction:

For this matchup, the prediction is that the game will go over 10.5 runs. Here's why:

First, Coors Field is notoriously known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark. The high altitude and thinner air in Denver allow the ball to travel further, which often results in higher-scoring games.

Second, both starting pitchers, Frankie Montas and Ty Blach, have ERAs above 4.00. This indicates that they are prone to giving up runs, especially in a ballpark like Coors Field where runs are more easily scored.

Third, the offensive capabilities of both teams cannot be ignored. The Reds have power hitters like Elly De La Cruz, while the Rockies have consistent contributors like Ryan McMahon and Elias Diaz. Both teams have shown they can score runs, and the conditions at Coors Field will likely amplify this.

Additionally, the recent performances of both teams suggest a tendency towards high-scoring games. The Reds' games have frequently seen run totals surpassing 10, and the Rockies, despite their struggles, have also been involved in high-scoring affairs.

Pick: Over 10.5 Runs (-120)

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