Rob Refsnyder Player Props: Red Sox vs Royals 8/6

- Big Ben Profits
- Aug 6, 2024, 12:05:01 PM
Rob Refsnyder Player Props: Red Sox vs Royals 8/6
Photo Credit: © Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox (60-51) are set to face the Kansas City Royals (63-51) at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on August 6, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup marks the fifth meeting between the two teams this season, with Boston leading the series 3-1. The Red Sox are coming off a strong performance where Masataka Yoshida recorded a four-hit game in their previous contest against the Royals. Boston has demonstrated a solid offensive presence, boasting a .253 batting average and 541 runs scored this season, ranking them 9th in the American League. They thrive in high-scoring scenarios, showing a remarkable 32-10 record in games where they hit at least two home runs.
On the other hand, the Royals, currently third in the AL Central, have maintained a strong home record of 36-23. They rank 10th in the AL with 122 home runs, averaging 1.1 per game. Their recent form includes a 6-4 record over the last ten games, and they have outscored their opponents by 11 runs during this stretch. With both teams showcasing some firepower, this matchup is expected to be an exciting affair.
Player Prop Odds
Market: Batter Total Bases
- Over 1.5 Total Bases: -172.0
- Under 1.5 Total Bases: +132.0
Player Analysis
Rob Refsnyder has seen increased playing time lately, and his offensive contributions have been valuable for the Red Sox. He is known for his versatility and ability to make solid contact at the plate. This season, he has a batting average of .289, with 15 doubles and 4 home runs, providing a reliable option in the lineup. Over the past ten games, Refsnyder has been particularly effective, hitting .320 with 5 RBIs, which suggests he is in good form heading into this matchup against Kansas City's pitching staff.
Opposing Analysis
The Royals will send Seth Lugo to the mound, who has been exceptional this season, posting a 2.57 ERA and 127 strikeouts over 150.1 innings pitched. Lugo's ability to keep hitters off balance will be key in this matchup, but Refsnyder's recent success against right-handed pitchers could play a significant role. The Royals' pitching has allowed 120 home runs this season, which could give Refsnyder opportunities to drive the ball in scoring situations.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.13 | 103 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 13-5 | 2.57 | 127 |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have been a competitive team in the AL East this season. With a .253 batting average, they have recorded 964 hits and scored 541 runs. Their pitching staff holds an ERA of 3.79, which ranks them 9th in the league. Despite some injury concerns, their offense remains potent, especially with players like Rafael Devers leading the charge with a .307 batting average and 25 home runs.
Kansas City Royals
Currently positioned third in the AL Central, the Royals have recorded 1023 hits and scored 553 runs this season, showcasing a batting average of .264. Their pitching staff has a slightly higher ERA of 3.96, ranking 13th in the league. They have had some struggles with consistency, but the power of Bobby Witt Jr. has been a bright spot, as he leads the team with a .343 batting average and 80 RBIs.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Justin Slaten | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 19 |
| John Schreiber | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 19 |
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Seattle | W 3-2 | W |
| vs Seattle | L 10-6 | L |
| vs Seattle | W 14-7 | W |
| @ Texas | W 7-2 | W |
| @ Kansas City | W 9-5 | W |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | L 9-5 | L |
| @ Detroit | W 3-2 | W |
| @ Detroit | L 6-5 F/11 | L |
| @ Detroit | W 9-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 10-3 | W |
Prediction
Given the recent form of Rob Refsnyder and the favorable odds for over 1.5 total bases, I recommend taking the over on this prop. The combination of Refsnyder's current hitting streak and the Royals' pitching vulnerability suggests a strong chance for him to exceed this line. Expect a competitive game with plenty of scoring opportunities for the Red Sox.


