Rhys Hoskins MLB Props - Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 7/22

- Mr Wager
- Jul 22, 2024, 11:41:28 PM
MLB Player Props Betting Tips: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
Game Summary
The Milwaukee Brewers (57-42) will face the Chicago Cubs (48-53) at Wrigley Field in Chicago on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 8:05 PM EDT. This National League Central matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the standings. The Cubs have been strong at home with a 26-23 record, and they have shown a knack for winning games when they record eight or more hits, boasting a 36-20 record in such scenarios. The Brewers, on the other hand, have a decent 28-25 road record and have the second-ranked team on-base percentage in the NL at .332.
Both teams have had mixed results in their last ten games. The Cubs have gone 6-4 with a .272 batting average and a stellar 2.43 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 14 runs. The Brewers, meanwhile, are 5-5 with a .245 batting average and a 4.21 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 10 runs. The season series between these two teams has been competitive, with the Brewers leading 6-4 heading into this matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Rhys Hoskins:
- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -155
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +420
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +165
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +105
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +130
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +160
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Player Analysis
Rhys Hoskins has been a significant contributor for the Brewers this season. With 18 home runs and 58 RBIs, he has been a consistent power threat in the lineup. Hoskins' ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for prop bets. His batting average of .284 and his recent form, including a couple of home runs and multiple RBIs in the last week, indicate that he is in good touch.
Opposing Analysis
The Cubs will be starting Javier Assad, who carries a 4-3 record with a 3.27 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched. Assad has been effective but can be prone to giving up the long ball, having allowed 12 home runs this season. The Cubs' bullpen has also been reliable, ranking third in the league with 33 saves. However, the Brewers' offense, which ranks second in team on-base percentage, could pose a challenge for Assad and the Cubs' relievers.
Pitching Probables
Below are the stats for the probable starting pitchers:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Myers (Milwaukee Brewers) | 6-3 | 3.13 | 1.13 | 72.0 | 61 | 62 | 20 | 10 |
| J. Assad (Chicago Cubs) | 4-3 | 3.27 | 1.35 | 85.1 | 80 | 79 | 35 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have a solid lineup anchored by Rhys Hoskins, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs. The team has a .233 batting average, ranking 25th in the league but has a respectable on-base percentage of .332. Their pitching staff has been strong, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th in the league. The Brewers' bullpen has been effective, though they are dealing with some injuries which could impact their performance.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have a more balanced offensive attack, with a .255 team batting average, ranking 4th in the league, and have scored 482 runs this season, ranking 6th. Their pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, which is 11th in the league. Javier Assad, who will be starting this game, has been solid but not spectacular. The Cubs' bullpen is one of the best in the league, ranking 3rd with 33 saves.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Dunn | 2B | Back | 60-Day IL |
| Enoli Paredes | RP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Gary Sanchez | C | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Robert Gasser | P | Flexor | 60-Day IL |
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Luke Little | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
Recent Games
Milwaukee Brewers
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W8-4 F/12 | 56-42 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W8-7 | 57-42 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
Chicago Cubs
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L5-2 | 47-52 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L3-0 | 47-53 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | 48-53 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
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Prediction
Given Rhys Hoskins' recent form and Javier Assad's tendency to give up home runs, the best prop bet for this game is Rhys Hoskins to hit a home run. The odds for this prop are +420, making it a high-value bet. Hoskins has been in good touch recently, and the Brewers' offense has the potential to capitalize on Assad's occasional lapses.
Pick: Rhys Hoskins to hit a home run (+420)
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