Reds vs Yankees Over/Under Prediction 7/2
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 2, 2024, 8:10:37 AM
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face the New York Yankees on July 2, 2024, at 7:06 PM at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are leading the AL East with a powerful lineup and strong pitching. The Reds, although struggling this season, have shown they can be competitive on any given day. This game will test the Reds' resolve against one of the league's best teams.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
| Over 8.5 | -110 |
| Under 8.5 | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
| Luis Castillo (CIN) | 6-8 | 3.70 | 115 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 11-3 | 2.85 | 145 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
Hitting: The Reds have a few bright spots in their lineup, but overall consistency has been an issue.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, particularly in high-leverage situations.
Fielding: Defensive errors have plagued the Reds throughout the season.
Starting Pitchers: Castillo is their ace, but support has been lacking.
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees' lineup, led by Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, is one of the most powerful in the league.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been dominant, closing out games with ease.
Fielding: The Yankees are solid defensively, making key plays when needed.
Starting Pitchers: Cole remains one of the top pitchers in baseball, consistently delivering quality starts.
Projected Starting Lineups
| # | Cincinnati Reds | New York Yankees |
| 1 | Jonathan India | DJ LeMahieu |
| 2 | Tyler Stephenson | Aaron Judge |
| 3 | Joey Votto | Giancarlo Stanton |
| 4 | Mike Moustakas | Anthony Rizzo |
| 5 | Nick Senzel | Gleyber Torres |
| 6 | Kyle Farmer | Josh Donaldson |
| 7 | Aristides Aquino | Isiah Kiner-Falefa |
| 8 | Shogo Akiyama | Jose Trevino |
| 9 | Luis Castillo | Gerrit Cole |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games.
Recent Games
| Team | Opponent | Score | W/L |
| Reds | Cardinals | 3-5 | L |
| Reds | Brewers | 4-7 | L |
| Reds | Brewers | 6-4 | W |
| Yankees | Red Sox | 5-3 | W |
| Yankees | Blue Jays | 2-3 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
| Reds | 18th | 21st | 27th | 24th |
| Yankees | 3rd | 5th | 4th | 7th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in their last 7 road games.
- New York is 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games.
- Luis Castillo has a 3.20 ERA on the road this season.
- Gerrit Cole has a 2.50 ERA in night games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
- Cincinnati's bullpen has a 4.90 ERA in the last 10 games.
- New York has scored 5.2 runs per game over their last 5 games.
- Cincinnati averages 3.9 runs per game on the road.
- New York is 5-1 in Cole's last 6 starts.
- Cincinnati is 2-5 in Castillo's last 7 starts.
Prediction
With two top-tier pitchers in Castillo and Cole facing off, expect a low-scoring game. The Yankees' strong bullpen and the Reds' inconsistent offense point towards the under 8.5 runs being a solid pick.
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
