Reds vs Padres Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/23

Reds vs Padres Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/23

© Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK


MLB Preview and Prediction: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds

The San Diego Padres face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Reds look to continue their winning ways at home, while the Padres aim to snap their two-game losing streak.

Game Overview:

  • Date: May 23, 2024
  • Time: 10:10 AM
  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Line: CIN -110
  • Over/Under: 9.5

Team Breakdown:

San Diego Padres:

The Padres hold a 25-26 record, including 10-10 on the road. Matt Waldron will be on the mound, aiming to improve his season stats.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Fernando Tatis Jr. (8 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jurickson Profar (.339 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jake Cronenworth (32 RBI)

Matt Waldron, the Padres' starting pitcher, has a 2-5 record, a 5.00 ERA, and a 1.42 WHIP over 45.0 innings. His performance has been inconsistent, and he will need to step up against a Reds team capable of scoring runs.

Cincinnati Reds:

The Reds come into this game with a 20-28 record, including 10-13 at home. Frankie Montas will start for Cincinnati, looking to build on his recent performances.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Elly De La Cruz (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: Elly De La Cruz (.262 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Spencer Steer (31 RBI)

Frankie Montas, the Reds' starting pitcher, has a 2-3 record, a 4.37 ERA, and a 1.37 WHIP over 35.0 innings. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, his tendency to give up runs could be a concern against the Padres' lineup.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
SD (25-26) -110 o9.5 (-115) -1.5 (+145)
CIN (20-28) -110 u9.5 (-105) +1.5 (-175)


In this matchup, we predict that the game will go over the total of 9.5 runs. Here's why:

Both starting pitchers, Matt Waldron and Frankie Montas, have struggled to consistently keep runs off the board. Waldron's 5.00 ERA and Montas' 4.37 ERA indicate that both teams are likely to score runs. Additionally, the Reds' Great American Ball Park is known for being a hitter-friendly venue, which often leads to high-scoring games.

The Padres' lineup, featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jurickson Profar, has the potential to exploit Montas' weaknesses, while the Reds' Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer can do the same against Waldron. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and the pitching struggles, this game has a strong chance of surpassing the 9.5 run total.

Pick: Over 9.5 runs (-115)

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