Red Sox vs Padres Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/28

Lm Tipster
Jun 28, 2024, 1:52:24 AM

MLB Preview: San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox

On June 28, 2024, the San Diego Padres will face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. This preview covers the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and key players.

Game Overview:

Date: June 28, 2024
Time: 4:10 PM
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Team Breakdown:

San Diego Padres:

The San Diego Padres enter this game with a 44-41 record, including a 20-19 record on the road. They are currently in second place in the National League West division and have won four of their last five games.

Pitching:

Randy Vasquez will start for the Padres. Vasquez has a 2-4 record with a 5.10 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched. His high ERA and WHIP suggest he has struggled this season.

Recent Performance:

The Padres have been on a winning streak, having won their last three games. Their offense has been productive, scoring 8, 9, and 7 runs in their last three games, respectively.

Key Players:

Home Runs: Fernando Tatis Jr. (14 HR)
Batting Average: Jurickson Profar (.316 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Jurickson Profar (55 RBI)

The Padres are dealing with injuries to Yu Darvish, Fernando Tatis Jr., Luis Campusano, Drew Carlton, and Joe Musgrove, which affects their depth.

Boston Red Sox:

The Boston Red Sox hold a 43-37 record, including a 19-21 record at home. They are currently in third place in the American League East division and have won three of their last five games.

Pitching:

Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox. Pivetta has a 4-4 record with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched. His performance has been better than Vasquez's, but he has still allowed a significant number of home runs.

Recent Performance:

The Red Sox have had mixed results recently, with their offense also showing productivity by scoring 9, 7, and 7 runs in their last three wins.

Key Players:

Home Runs: Rafael Devers (16 HR)
Batting Average: Jarren Duran (.288 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Rafael Devers (42 RBI)

The Red Sox are managing injuries to Dalton Guthrie, Roberto Perez, Triston Casas, Vaughn Grissom, and Bryan Mata, but have shown resilience in maintaining their performance levels.

Game Odds:

Team	Moneyline	Total	Run Line
SD (44-41)	+130	o9.5 (EVEN)	+1.5 (-165)
BOS (43-37)	-150	u9.5 (-120)	-1.5 (+140)

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchup and recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the over on 9.5 runs. Randy Vasquez, the starting pitcher for the Padres, has struggled this season with a high ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.68, indicating he allows a lot of baserunners and potential runs.

On the other hand, Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox has also been prone to allowing home runs, with 12 home runs given up in just 57.2 innings. This suggests that both teams could have strong offensive performances against these pitchers.

The Padres have shown their offensive strength in recent games, scoring 8, 9, and 7 runs, and the Red Sox have also been productive, scoring 9, 7, and 7 runs in their last three wins. Both teams have key offensive players like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Rafael Devers, who can significantly impact the scoreline.

Given the combination of struggling pitchers and productive offenses, the game is likely to see a high total score, making the over on 9.5 runs the favored pick.