Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Credit: photo by David Butler ll-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line -270
Red Sox run line -1.5 (-165)
Orioles money line +220
Orioles run line +1.5 (+140)
Over / under 9.5 (-105)

 

Key stats
  Red Sox Orioles
Record 88-68 50-106
Road / home record 39-36 25-53
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak 3L 1L
Over / under record 73-80-3 78-74-4
Runs / game 5.15 4.10
Runs allowed / game 4.67 5.88

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Red Sox traveling to Baltimore to take on the Orioles.  The Red Sox enter this game currently 1 game ahead of the Blue Jays for the second wildcard spot. After getting swept by the Yankees they'll look to turn things around against one of the worst teams in the league in the Orioles.  Baltimore enters this game firmly out of the playoffs and will look to play spoiler against their division foe.

Pitching matchup

Red Sox

Chris Sale (5-0, 2.57 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox when they take on the Orioles. Sale enters this game with a 1.29 WHIP and 3.39 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 24.6% strikeout rate along with a low 4.8% walk rate. Sale has been good since coming back from injury. He is one of the best pitchers in the league when fully healthy and stretched out.  His strikeout rate is lower than the norm in his limited innings but that shouldn't deter you from riding with Sale.  He limits the hard contact and has some nasty stuff to get hitters out.  He should have no problem getting through this weak Orioles lineup.

Orioles

Bruce Zimmerman (4-4, 4.83 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles when they host the Red Sox. Zimmerman enters this game with a 1.47 WHIP and 4.66 XFIP. This season he carries a 20.7% strikeout rate along with a 7.6% walk rate. Zimmerman has been decent of late for the Orioles.  Though he has been decent he still allows contact and power to both sides of the plate.  He will have his hands full when the Red Sox come to town on a misson to secure a wild card spot.

Prediction

I'll be rolling with the Red Sox in this one tonight. Sale is an elite pitcher still getting fully back to health and should be able to get through this Orioles lineup pretty easily.  The Boston bats should have no problem getting to Zimmerman and this bad Orioles bullpen.

PICK: Red Sox -1.5 (-165)

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