Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction MLB Picks Experts 5/16

Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction MLB Picks Experts 5/16

© Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports


MLB Predictions: Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Analysis and Best Bet

The Seattle Mariners are set to face the Boston Red Sox in an exciting MLB game on May 16, 2023. As fans gear up for this matchup, let's dive into an extensive review of both teams, analyzing their pitching, hitting, and injury situations. Additionally, we'll provide our expert prediction.


Seattle Mariners

The Mariners enter the game with a 20-20 overall record and a solid 10-8 record on the road. On the mound, Luis Castillo will take the reins for Seattle. Castillo has been impressive with a 2-1 record, 2.70 ERA, and 0.99 WHIP. In 46.2 innings pitched, he has recorded 52 strikeouts while only allowing 3 home runs.

Offensively, the Mariners have shown some power with 41 home runs, including contributions from Teoscar Hernandez and Jarred Kelenic. Hernandez has hit 8 home runs with 20 RBIs, while Kelenic boasts a .287 batting average. However, the team's overall batting average stands at .225, indicating room for improvement.

In terms of injuries, the Mariners have Jack Larsen listed as day-to-day. While Larsen's potential absence could impact the team's depth, they have shown resilience in overcoming injuries throughout the season.


Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox hold a 22-19 record, with a solid 13-10 record at home. Taking the mound for Boston is Nick Pivetta. Pivetta has struggled with a 2-3 record, 6.23 ERA, and 1.50 WHIP. He has allowed 8 home runs in 34.2 innings pitched, which could create opportunities for the Mariners' hitters.

Offensively, the Red Sox have been productive, hitting .267 as a team. Rafael Devers has been a standout performer with 11 home runs and 37 RBIs. Alex Verdugo has also contributed with a .299 batting average. The Red Sox possess a potent lineup capable of generating runs.

In terms of injuries, the Red Sox have a few players listed on the injured list, including Kutter Crawford, Christian Arroyo, Garrett Whitlock, Yu Chang, and Enrique Hernandez. These absences may slightly impact the team's depth but shouldn't significantly affect their overall performance.



Analyzing the pitching matchup and offensive capabilities of both teams, we predict that this game will see a relatively high-scoring affair, making the over of 8.5 runs the best bet. Nick Pivetta's struggles on the mound, coupled with the power-hitting potential of the Mariners, suggests that runs will be scored.

Additionally, both teams possess hitters who have been productive throughout the season, and the Fenway Park factor could contribute to an increase in scoring opportunities. The relatively high team ERAs of both Seattle (3.30) and Boston (5.02) further support the likelihood of a higher-scoring game.


Pick: Over 8.5 runs 

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