Rays vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 24: MLB

Rays vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 24: MLB

Credit: photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Time 7:06 p.m. EST
Rays money line -125
Rays run line -1.0 (+105)
Phillies money line +105
Phillies run line +1.0 (-125)
Over / under 9 (-110)


Key stats
  Rays Phillies
Record 77-48 63-61
Road / home record 36-25 36-25
Last 10 record 7-3 4-6
Streak W2 W1
Over / under record 70-50-5 60-61-3
Runs / game 5.31 4.46
Runs allowed / game 4.11 4.64



The Rays are in Philadelphia for the first of a two-game tilt against the Phillies.  The Rays took their last series 2-1 and have now won six of their last seven games.  The Phillies took their last series 2-1. Those were their only two wins in their last seven games.  

The Rays dominated their last game putting nine runs on the board and are averaging 7.09 runs in their last 11 games even keeping a shutout in their previous game last Sunday night.  

The Phillies started August winning eight straight games.  Since then their bats have gone cold  averaging only 2.91 runs in their last 12 games. 

Pitching matchup


Drew Rasmussen (1-1, 3.64 ERA) Drew Rasmussen will be first on the mound for the Rays. The second-year pitcher has a WHIP of 1.25 and a 3.64 ERA in 2021, an improvement from his 5.87 ERA in 2020 which he accumulated in 12 games.  In 29 games in 2021, Rasmussen has surrendered 22 runs off 37 hits to go with 22 walks and 57 shutouts.  In his two games against the Phillies earlier this season he gave up a single hit for no runs with five strikeouts.


Ranger Suarez (5-4, 1.47 ERA) Ranger Suarez will start his fifth game of the season for the Phillies.  Suarez had a 5.40 ERA in 2018, a 3.14 ERA in 2019, a 20.25 ERA in 3 games in 2020 and currently a 1.47 ERA in 2021 to go along with a 0.96 WHIP.  Suarez has given up 13 runs off 32 hits in 2021 with 24 walks and 53 strikeouts.  He has faced the Rays once this season giving up a single hit and one walk for no runs. 


The Rays batting has been red-hot recently and look likely to continue their streak.  The Phillies bats have been kept modest but have been trending upwards recently.  The game has the potential for a lot of firepower so the over / under at 9 seems achievable.

PICK: Over 9 (-110)

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