Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox (65-57) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (72-52) for the fourth and final game of their current series on Sunday, August 18, 2024. This matchup will take place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The Red Sox currently lead the series 2-1, looking to secure a series victory against their division rivals.

In their last ten games, the Orioles have gone 5-5, with a batting average of .275 and a 4.60 ERA, outscoring their opponents by just two runs. In contrast, the Red Sox have struggled recently, posting a 4-6 record with a .248 batting average and a higher 6.10 ERA, which has led to an overall deficit of 11 runs in their last ten outings.

Historically, the Orioles have had the upper hand against the Red Sox in 2024, leading the season series 6-3. The Orioles are performing well at home, with a 36-28 record, while the Red Sox have been solid on the road, going 36-25. Both teams are looking to improve their playoff positioning as the season heads into its final stretch.

Key players to watch include Gunnar Henderson for the Orioles, who has been exceptional with 23 doubles, six triples, 32 home runs, and 75 RBIs this season. On the other side, Rafael Devers is a standout for the Red Sox with 32 doubles and 27 home runs, boasting a .297 batting average.

With both teams fighting for a playoff spot, this game promises to be competitive, with the Red Sox looking to continue their recent success against the Orioles while Baltimore aims to bounce back from their recent losses in the series.

Player Prop Odds

Here are the current player prop odds for Ramon Urias:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+414), Under -754
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-179), Under +129
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+219), Under -324
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+159), Under -224
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-111), Under -123
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-179), Under +129

Player Analysis

Ramon Urias has been a consistent contributor for the Baltimore Orioles this season. With a current batting average hovering around .275, Urias has shown the ability to get on base and make an impact in crucial situations. His versatility allows him to play multiple positions, adding depth to the lineup.

In terms of power, Urias has demonstrated the potential for extra-base hits, but he primarily excels at getting singles and driving in runs. His stats indicate that he has the potential to surpass the prop lines set for him, especially against the Red Sox's pitching staff, which has been inconsistent at times.

Opposing Analysis

The Red Sox pitching staff will be led by Kutter Crawford, who has a record of 8-9 with a 4.21 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. While Crawford has been effective at times, he has also had games where he struggles, which could provide opportunities for hitters like Urias to capitalize on pitching mistakes.

Against right-handed pitchers, Urias has performed well throughout the season. The Red Sox bullpen has shown weakness in critical moments, making them vulnerable to strong performances from hitters in the lineup. Given Urias’ skill set and the current form of the Red Sox pitching, he stands a good chance to meet or exceed his prop odds.

Prop Analysis

Looking closely at the player props, Urias’s Over for hits and RBIs seems favorable given the odds. With the Red Sox struggling on the mound, Urias has a solid chance of getting at least one hit, as reflected in the odds of -179 for Over 0.5 hits. His potential to drive in runs is also promising, especially considering his recent form and the matchup against Crawford.

The odds for total bases show a similar trend. With Urias having the possibility of getting extra-base hits, the Over of 0.5 total bases at -179 is a strong bet. However, the odds for doubles at +414 suggest that while it is a long shot, it is still within the realm of possibility based on his capability.

Starting Pitching Summary - Team 1

Kutter Crawford will be on the mound for the Red Sox. His season stats highlight an 8-9 record, 4.21 ERA, and 129 strikeouts over 136.2 innings pitched. Crawford's WHIP of 1.11 indicates he has been effective at limiting base runners, but he has also given up 27 home runs this season, which could be a concern against a potent Orioles lineup.

In his recent outings, Crawford has shown flashes of brilliance, but inconsistency remains a key issue. If he can keep his pitch count low and avoid walks, he may be able to limit damage and set the stage for the Red Sox's offense to support him. However, if he struggles, it could open the door for Urias and the rest of the Orioles' hitters to have a productive day at the plate.

Starting Pitching Summary - Team 2

Albert Suarez will take the mound for the Orioles. With a 5-4 record and a 3.39 ERA, Suarez has been a reliable option for Baltimore this season. He has 72 strikeouts over 90.1 innings pitched and a WHIP of 1.30, indicating some challenges with runners on base but has shown the ability to escape jams effectively.

Suarez’s ability to keep the ball in the park (only 6 home runs allowed) will be crucial against a Red Sox lineup that can hit for power. His performance will significantly impact how the game unfolds, as a strong outing could lead to a victory for the Orioles and potentially stifle Urias' opportunities.

Bullpen Summary - Team 1

The Red Sox bullpen has struggled at times this season, with an ERA of 4.15, indicating they can be susceptible to giving up runs late in games. With a total of 36 saves, their ability to close out games has been tested, especially in high-pressure situations. If Crawford exits early or is ineffective, the bullpen may face challenges against the Orioles' potent hitting lineup.

Bullpen Summary - Team 2

On the other hand, the Orioles have a solid bullpen with a combined ERA of 3.96. They have the depth needed to handle late-game situations effectively. With several reliable arms, the Orioles can maintain leads and minimize scoring opportunities for the Red Sox, which will relieve some pressure off their starting pitcher.

Team Previews

The Boston Red Sox are currently third in the AL East, showcasing strong batting statistics with a team average of .256, ranking them sixth in the league. Their pitching has been a mixed bag, evident from their 3.96 ERA, placing them at 16th overall. Key players include Rafael Devers and Masataka Yoshida, who have both been instrumental in driving runs and maintaining offensive pressure.

The Baltimore Orioles, on the other hand, are second in the AL East, with an impressive .262 batting average, ranking second in the league. Their pitching staff, bolstered by Suarez and a reliable bullpen, holds a 4.15 ERA, indicating a solid defensive front. The Orioles rely heavily on power hitters like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander to provide the necessary offensive firepower.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles Injuries

• Adley Rutschman: C, Back (Probable for Aug 18)
• Grayson Rodriguez: P, Lat (15-Day IL)
• Jacob Webb: P, Elbow (15-Day IL)
• Heston Kjerstad: OF, Concussion (10-Day IL)
• Jordan Westburg: 2B, Hand (10-Day IL)
• Jorge Mateo: SS, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• Danny Coulombe: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• Kyle Bradish: P, UCL Sprain (60-Day IL)
• Tyler Wells: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• John Means: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• Felix Bautista: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)

Boston Red Sox Injuries

• Cam Booser: P, Elbow (15-Day IL)
• James Paxton: P, Leg (15-Day IL)
• Bryan Mata: P, Hamstring (60-Day IL)
• Justin Slaten: P, Elbow (15-Day IL)
• Garrett Whitlock: P, Oblique (60-Day IL)
• Trevor Story: SS, Shoulder (Expected out until at least Sep 17)
• Liam Hendriks: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• Chris Murphy: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)
• Lucas Giolito: P, Elbow (60-Day IL)

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