MLB Player Props Advice: Rafael Devers - Red Sox vs Rockies 7/22
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will be facing the Colorado Rockies in the first game of a three-game series on July 22, 2024, at Coors Field in Denver. The Red Sox, currently holding a record of 53-45 and sitting third in the AL East, will look to bounce back after a tough series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Rockies, with a 36-64 record and languishing at the bottom of the NL West, are hoping to find some form of redemption at home where they have a 22-28 record.
Both teams have shown stark contrasts in their gameplay. The Red Sox have been solid on the road with a 29-20 record, while the Rockies have struggled to maintain consistency. In their last 10 games, the Rockies have gone 4-6, managing a .231 batting average but suffering from a high ERA of 5.82. On the other hand, the Red Sox have fared better with a 5-5 record, a .278 batting average, and a more respectable ERA of 3.94.
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Player Prop Odds
For Rafael Devers, here are the current player prop odds:
- Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +245
- Batter Hits 1.5: Over +160
- Batter Home Runs 0.5: Over +320
- Batter RBIs 0.5: Over -125
- Batter Runs Scored 1.5: Over +360
- Batter Singles 0.5: Over -130
- Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over -150
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Player Analysis
Rafael Devers has been a standout performer for the Red Sox this season. With a batting average of .287, 23 home runs, and 61 RBIs, he has been a consistent source of power and production. His ability to drive in runs and hit for power makes him a significant threat, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Coors Field.
Devers' recent form has been impressive, and his ability to get on base, combined with his power, makes him a valuable asset for the Red Sox. In his last 10 games, Devers has showcased his ability to come through in clutch situations, and he will be looking to continue this trend against the Rockies.
Opposing Analysis
On the mound for the Rockies will be Austin Gomber, who has had a challenging season with a 2-6 record, a 4.61 ERA, and 67 strikeouts. Gomber has struggled with consistency, and facing a potent Red Sox lineup will be a tough test for him. The Rockies' pitching staff, in general, has struggled, ranking 30th in team ERA at 5.51.
For Devers, facing Gomber and a struggling Rockies pitching staff presents a golden opportunity to add to his impressive stat line. The Rockies have allowed a high number of hits and runs this season, and Devers will look to capitalize on any mistakes made by Gomber and the bullpen.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck | Boston Red Sox | 8-6 | 2.54 | 112 |
| Austin Gomber | Colorado Rockies | 2-6 | 4.61 | 67 |
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have been solid on the offensive front, ranking 14th in batting average at .243 and tied for 13th in hits with 821. Their ability to get on base and hit with power has been key to their success. However, their pitching has been a mixed bag, with a team ERA of 3.94. The bullpen has had its struggles, and the team will need a strong outing from Tanner Houck to set the tone.
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have had their fair share of struggles this season, particularly on the pitching side. With a team ERA of 5.51, they rank last in the league. Offensively, they have been better, ranking 5th in batting average at .255 and 6th in hits with 862. However, their inability to consistently shut down opponents has been their downfall.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | LF | Day-to-day (shoulder) |
| Justin Slaten | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Chris Martin | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Triston Casas | 1B | 60-Day IL (rib) |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Garrett Whitlock | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Trevor Story | SS | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Bryan Mata | RP | 15-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Liam Hendriks | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Chris Murphy | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lucas Giolito | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Colorado Rockies
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones | 3B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Kris Bryant | 1B | 10-Day IL (rib) |
| Jordan Beck | OF | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Lucas Gilbreath | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Daniel Bard | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Antonio Senzatela | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 1-4 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-7 (F/11) | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-9 | L |
| vs New York | 1-3 | L |
| vs New York | 4-2 | W |
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Francisco | 7-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 4-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 2-3 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 3-6 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 5-8 | L |
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Prediction
Given Rafael Devers' current form and the struggles of the Rockies' pitching staff, a prop bet on Rafael Devers seems promising. Specifically, the "Over 1.5 Total Bases" at -150 odds stands out as a solid pick. Devers' power and ability to get on base, combined with the hitter-friendly environment of Coors Field, suggest he is likely to exceed this total.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Rafael Devers (-150)
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