Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 6 (9/6): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 6 (9/6): MLB

 

Odds

Time 6:35 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +190
Pirates run line +1.5 (+110)
Mets money line -230
Mets run line -1.5 (-130)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  New York Mets
Record 49-84 85-49
Home / road record 26-39 39-27
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak L4 L2
Over / under record 59-66-8 67-60-7
Runs / game 3.52 4.67
Runs allowed / game 5.09 3.70

 

Preview

The New York Mets visit the Pittsburgh Pirates to play a 3-game series at the Citi Field. The Mets lost their last series against the Nationals and the Pirates were swept by the Blue Jays. This is the first time these teams meet in the regular season.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 49-84 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.52 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 464 runs scored in 952 hits and 128 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 21, 48 RBI and batting for an average of .251.

Defensively they are allowing 5.09 runs per game and ranking #27 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.35 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Mitch Keller (4-10, 4.43 ERA)

Keller will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. Keller allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out 10 across six innings Tuesday against the Brewers. He did not factor into the decision. He hasn't pitched against the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 85-49 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.67 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 626 runs scored in 1166 hits and 135 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .321 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 32 home runs and 106 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.70 runs per game and rank #5 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.32 ERA, 143 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.45 ERA)

Walker will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Walker allowed three runs on five hits and three walks with five strikeouts over 5.1 innings against the Dodgers. He did not factor in the decision. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 7.94 and 5 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Pirates in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets' last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

NY Mets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division division.

Pittsburgh are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games against NY Mets.

Pittsburgh are 0-8 SU in their last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Pirates continue to struggle as they have lost 8 of their last 10 games and allowing over 5 runs per game. For the series opener vs Mets they'll send Mitch Keller to the mound who has been up and down this seasonand the Pirates have lost in 6 of his last 8 starts. The Mets will send Taijuan Walker who's doing a good job on the mound but the Mets have lost in his last 3 starts. The under has cashed in 8 of the last 12 games for the Mets and in the last 5 games for the Pirates. With both teams struggling offensively I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110) 

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