Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +108
Pirates run line +1.5 (-145)
Brewers money line -130
Brewers run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  Milwaukee Brewers
Record 30-45 44-33
Home / home record 17-20 25-18
Last 10 record 4-6 7-3
Streak W1 W4
Over / under record 31-38-6 38-34-5
Runs / game 3.59 4.43
Runs allowed / game 4.97 4.17

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates will meet again to play a 4-game series at the PNC Park. The Brewers beat twice the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series while the Pirates lost 2 of 3 times against the Washington Nationals. So far this season, the Brewers have dominated the Pirates and are 6-0 against them.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 30-45 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .220 AVG, 274 runs scored in 539 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Kansas City Royals. Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting for .262 AVG and has 21 RBI. Bryan Reynolds leads in home runs with 15 and 31 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.14 ERA, 76 strikeouts and 1 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher: JT Brubaker (1-7, 4.14 ERA)

Brubaker will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. In Saturday's loss to the Rays, Brubaker pitched six innings, allowing three runs on nine hits and striking out six. He did not factor in the decision. He is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.15 and 32 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 44-33 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.4 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 337 runs scored in 592 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Willy Adames leads the team with 15 home runs and 39 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes pitched 7 scoreless innings and got the win vs St Louis. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.41 ERA, 119 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Adrian Houser (4-8, 4.50 ERA)

Houser will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Brewers. He took the loss against the Blue Jays after allowing five runs on nine hits and a walk in six innings. Houser has a 3-3 record with an ERA of 3.86 and 33 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Pirates in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee Brewers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Milwaukee Brewers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games against Milwaukee.

Prediction

The Pirates ended their losing streak beating the Nationals 8-7 but lost the series. They have struggled against the Brewers this season as they have lost 6 of the 6 times they have faced them but they'll try to end this losing streak by sending JT Brubaker who allowed 2 runs in the last time he faced Milwaukee. The Brewers are on a 4 game winning streak and have scored 6.2 runs per game on those games. They'll send Adrian Houser who has struggled this season and the Brewers have won only 5 of 16 games when he has started. The Pirates should have a chance to beat Houser on this game but with the Brewers offense on fire right now I think the best play is the over. 

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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