Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 1 (7/1): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 1 (7/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +165
Pirates run line +1.5 (+100)
Brewers money line -200
Brewers run line -1.5 (-120)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  Milwaukee Brewers
Record 31-45 44-34
Home / home record 18-20 25-19
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak W2 L1
Over / under record 32-38-6 39-34-5
Runs / game 3.59 4.43
Runs allowed / game 4.97 4.17

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the 2nd game of series at the PNC Park on Friday night. The Pirates took the win 8-7 in the first game of the series. Michael Perez had three home runs and the rookies Oneil Cruz and Jack Suwinski hit back-to-back shots to help the team to win the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 31-45 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .220 AVG, 274 runs scored in 539 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Kansas City Royals. Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting for .262 AVG and has 21 RBI. Bryan Reynolds leads in home runs with 15 and 31 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. JT Brubaker pitched six innings, allowing four runs and seven hits. He leads the pitching staff with a 4.28 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher: Roansy Contreras (2-1, 2.76 ERA)

Contreras will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Pirates. In five innings, Contreras allowed one run on four hits and five walks while striking out four. He did not factor in the decision in the 4-2 loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday. He hasn't pitched against the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 44-34 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.4 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 337 runs scored in 592 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Willy Adames leads the team with 15 home runs and 39 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes pitched 7 scoreless innings and got the win vs St Louis. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.41 ERA, 119 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.41 ERA)

Burnes will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Brewers. Burnes earned the win against Toronto on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out nine and walking two over 7.2 innings. He has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 2.78, 57 strikeouts and 1 save in 17 appearances against the Pirates in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee Brewers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games played on a Friday when on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games against Milwaukee.

Pittsburgh Pirates are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Pirates exploded again in the first game of the series againt the Brewers and they have scored 8 runs in each of their last 2 games but they'll now face one of the best pitchers in the league. Corbin Burnes has allowed 5 runs in his last 20.2 innings pitched and has been effective against the Pirates in his career. The Pirates will send Contreras to the mound whoo hasn't allowed more than 3 runs per game in his 7 starts this season. The Pirates will struggle against Burnes on this game so I don't expect another high scoring game. This time I'm going with the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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