Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

 

Odds

Time 12:35 p.m. EST
Reds money line +100
Reds run line +1.5 (-195)
Pirates money line -120
Pirates run line -1.5 (+165)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates
Record 60-95 58-97
Road / home record 29-48 31-46
Last 10 record 3-7 3-7
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 74-77-4 71-75-9
Runs / game 4.13 3.59
Runs allowed / game 5.00 5.08

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the 3rd game of the series at the PNC Park on Wednesday. The Pirates took the win again 4-1 in the second game of the series. Miguel Andújar hit a tiebreaking three-run double in the seventh inning.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 60-95 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.13 runs. They're batting for .238 AVG, 630 runs scored in 1211 hits and 150 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Dbacks. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 73 RBI, 13 home runs and batting for .255 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.00 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Hunter Greene leads the pitching staff with a 4.91 ERA, 146 strikeouts and 4 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Cessa (3-4, 4.78 ERA)

Cessa will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Reds. Cessa yielded three runs (two earned) on six hits and four walks over 4.2 innings Friday, striking out three and taking a loss against Milwaukee. He has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.60 and 14 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Pirates in his career.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 58-97 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.59 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 549 runs scored in 1106 hits and 155 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 26, 60 RBI and batting for an average of .266.

Defensively they are allowing 5.08 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.58 ERA, 145 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Bryse Wilson (3-9, 5.95 ERA)

Wilson will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Pirates. Wilson yielded two runs on five hits and three walks over five innings against the Cubs on Friday. He struck out five and did not factor in the decision. He Wilson yielded two runs on five hits and three walks over five innings against the Cubs on Friday. He struck out five and did not factor in the decision.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games.

Cincinnati are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Cincinnati are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games.

Pittsburgh are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.

 

Prediction

The Reds are already eliminated and have been awful offensively averaging only 2.5 runs per game in the last 10 played. Luis Cessa will start for the Reds who has been decent as a starter with the Reds but got rocked by the Pirates with 5 runs the last time they met. The Pirates are also eliminated and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. Bryse Wilson has been up and down this season and the Pirates have lost in 4 of his last 5 starts. The Reds aren't showing signs of life so I guess they just want this season to be over so go with the Pirates for the sweep.

PICK: Pirates ML (-120)

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