Pirates vs Mets Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/5

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Jul 5, 2024, 3:43:52 AM

MLB Preview and Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

Get ready for an exciting matchup as the Pittsburgh Pirates host the New York Mets at PNC Park. With both teams battling for position, expect a competitive game with both sides eager for a win.

Game Overview:

Date: July 5, 2024
Time: 3:40 PM
Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Line: PIT -130
Over/Under: 7.5

Team Breakdown:

Pittsburgh Pirates:

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter this game with a 41-45 record, aiming to leverage their home-field advantage and make a push in the NL Central standings. Despite being slightly under .500, the Pirates have shown resilience and competitive spirit.

Last 5 Games:

7/3/24: vs STL, W 5-4 (F/10)
7/2/24: vs STL, L 7-4
6/30/24: @ ATL, W 4-2
6/29/24: @ ATL, L 2-1 (F/10)
6/28/24: @ ATL, L 6-1

Injury Report:

Dennis Santana (RP): Day-to-Day, expected return July 4
Cristofer Melendez (SP): OUT, expected return July 4
Ryan Borucki (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 5
Quinn Priester (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 7
Henry Davis (C): 7-Day IL, expected return July 8

Pitching Analysis:

Paul Skenes takes the mound for the Pirates, boasting an impressive 4-0 record with a stellar 2.06 ERA. Skenes has been a rock on the mound, providing consistency and stability to the Pirates' pitching rotation. His performance will be crucial in keeping the Mets' offense at bay.

Batting Leaders:

Home Runs: Bryan Reynolds (14 HR)
Batting Average: Bryan Reynolds (.273 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Bryan Reynolds (48 RBI)

With Bryan Reynolds leading the charge offensively, the Pirates have the firepower to support Skenes on the mound and put runs on the board.

New York Mets:

The New York Mets, holding a 42-43 record, are looking to improve their standings and secure a win on the road. Despite their recent struggles, the Mets have a talented roster capable of challenging any opponent.

Last 5 Games:

7/3/24: @ WSH, L 7-5
7/2/24: @ WSH, W 7-2 (F/10)
7/1/24: @ WSH, W 9-7 (F/10)
6/30/24: vs HOU, L 10-5 (F/11)
6/29/24: vs HOU, L 9-6

Injury Report:

Harrison Bader (CF): Day-to-Day, expected return July 5
Edwin Diaz (RP): Suspension, expected return July 6
Matthew Bruce Allan (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 10
Kyle Crick (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 12
Sean Reid-Foley (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Luis Severino will start for the Mets, carrying a 5-2 record with a 3.42 ERA. Severino has been a reliable pitcher for the Mets, but he will face a tough task against the Pirates' lineup.

Batting Leaders:

Home Runs: Pete Alonso (18 HR)
Batting Average: Starling Marte (.278 AVG)
Runs Batted In: Brandon Nimmo (52 RBI)

Key players like Pete Alonso and Starling Marte will need to step up to provide the offensive support necessary for a win.

Head to Head Record:

The Mets currently lead the season series 3-0 against the Pirates. The previous games were as follows:

4/15: Mets 3, Pirates 1
4/16: Mets 9, Pirates 1
4/17: Mets 6, Pirates 1

Game Odds:

Team	ML	Total	Spread
PIT (41-45)	-130	o7.5 (-120)	-1.5 (+160)
NYM (42-43)	+110	u7.5 (EVEN)	+1.5 (-190)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Here's why:

Paul Skenes has been a dominant force on the mound, boasting a 4-0 record and a 2.06 ERA. His ability to consistently deliver strong performances provides the Pirates with a significant advantage.

Offensively, the Pirates have shown they can produce runs, with Bryan Reynolds leading the charge. The combination of Skenes' pitching and the Pirates' offensive capabilities makes them a strong pick against the Mets.

Considering the Mets' recent struggles and the Pirates' home advantage, we expect the Pirates to secure a win. Therefore, our pick is the Pirates on the money line (ML).