Phillies vs Rangers Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/21

Phillies vs Rangers Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/21

© Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports


MLB Preview and Prediction: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Texas Rangers will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Rangers aim to improve their .500 record, while the Phillies look to continue their strong home performance.


Game Overview:

  • Date: May 21, 2024
  • Time: 3:40 PM
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Line: PHI -170
  • Over/Under: 8.5

Team Breakdown:

Texas Rangers:

The Rangers hold a 24-24 record, including 12-11 on the road. Jon Gray will be on the mound, bringing his strong pitching performance into this matchup.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Adolis Garcia (11 HR)
  • Batting Average: Josh Smith (.284 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Adolis Garcia (35 RBI)

Jon Gray, the Rangers' starting pitcher, has been solid with a 2-1 record, a 2.08 ERA, and a 1.17 WHIP over 52.0 innings. His ability to limit opponents' runs makes a strong case for a low-scoring game.

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Phillies come into this game with an impressive 34-14 record, including 19-8 at home. Ranger Suarez will start for Philadelphia, looking to continue his stellar performance this season.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (10 HR)
  • Batting Average: Alec Bohm (.330 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (42 RBI)

Ranger Suarez, the Phillies' starting pitcher, has been exceptional with an 8-0 record, a 1.37 ERA, and a 0.76 WHIP over 59.0 innings. His dominant pitching is likely to keep the Rangers' offense in check.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
TEX (24-24) +145 o8.5 (+105) +1.5 (-150)
PHI (34-14) -170 u8.5 (-120) -1.5 (+130)


In this matchup, we predict that the game will go under 8.5 runs. Here's why:

Both Jon Gray and Ranger Suarez have been excellent on the mound this season, with Gray sporting a 2.08 ERA and Suarez an impressive 1.37 ERA. Their ability to limit runs will likely lead to a low-scoring game.

Furthermore, while both teams have capable offenses, their recent performances suggest a tendency towards games with fewer runs. The Rangers have struggled to score consistently, and the Phillies' pitching has been dominant, further supporting a low total.

Pick: Under 8.5 runs

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