Phillies vs Padres Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/19

Phillies vs Padres Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/19

© Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The San Diego Padres face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are favored on the moneyline due to their strong home record and the Padres' recent struggles. Here’s an in-depth look at why the Phillies are the pick for this matchup.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 19, 2024
  • Time: 10:05 AM
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • TV Coverage: Check local listings
  • Weather: 80°F, Clear

 

Team Breakdown:

San Diego Padres:

The San Diego Padres enter this game with a 37-39 record and a 19-18 record on the road. They are currently third in the National League West standings. The Padres have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games, and will need to overcome these difficulties to secure a win.

Pitching:

Matt Waldron is set to start for the Padres. Waldron has had a decent season with a 4-6 record, a 3.66 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched. He has been relatively effective but will face a tough challenge against the potent Phillies lineup.

Offense:

Offensively, the Padres have been led by Fernando Tatis Jr., who has 13 home runs and 35 RBIs with a .273 batting average. Jurickson Profar has been their most consistent hitter, boasting a .321 batting average and 46 RBIs. Despite these individual performances, the team has struggled to score runs consistently.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Fernando Tatis Jr. (13 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jurickson Profar (.321 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jurickson Profar (46 RBI)

The Padres are also dealing with several key injuries, including Drew Carlton, Yu Darvish, Glenn Otto, Joe Musgrove, and Xander Bogaerts, which further complicates their chances in this matchup.

 

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a 48-24 record and are 28-10 at home. They are currently first in the National League East standings. The Phillies have been one of the strongest teams in the league, with both their offense and pitching contributing to their success.

Pitching:

Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies. Suarez has been phenomenal this season with a 10-1 record, a 1.77 ERA, and a 0.88 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched. His consistency and ability to dominate hitters make him a significant advantage for the Phillies.

Offense:

The Phillies' offense is led by Kyle Schwarber, who has 16 home runs and 47 RBIs with a .253 batting average. Alec Bohm has also been a key contributor, hitting .307 with 60 RBIs. The team’s balanced offensive approach has made them a formidable force.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (16 HR)
  • Batting Average: Alec Bohm (.307 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (60 RBI)

The Phillies' lineup depth and the strength of their pitching staff make them a tough opponent for any team, especially at home where they have been particularly dominant.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
SD (37-39) +140 o8.5 (-115) +1.5 (-145)
PHI (48-24) -165 u8.5 (-105) -1.5 (+125)

 

Prediction:

The prediction for this game is a win for the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline (-165). Here’s why:

The Phillies have a significant home-field advantage, boasting a 28-10 record at Citizens Bank Park. Ranger Suarez has been outstanding on the mound, and the Phillies' offense has been consistent and productive, led by Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm. The Padres, on the other hand, are dealing with multiple injuries and have struggled in recent games, making it difficult to trust their ability to overcome the Phillies in this matchup.

Pick: Phillies Moneyline (-165)

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