Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 2 (9/2): MLB
- Sep 2, 2021, 4:33:25 PM
Credit: photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
|Time||1:05 p.m. EST|
|Phillies money line||-160|
|Phillies run line||-1.5 (-102)|
|Nationals money line||+135|
|Nationals run line||+1.5 (-123)|
|Over / under||8.5 (-110)|
|Road / home record||29-36||31-35|
|Last 10 record||6-4||2-8|
|Over / under record||65-63-4||58-69-4|
|Runs / game||4.58||4.40|
|Runs allowed / game||4.64||4.91|
The Philadelphia Phillies are in Washington for the final game of the three game series against the Nationals in a makeup game. The Phillies took the first two games 7-4 and 12-6, and have now won 5 straight after dropping their previous 3. The Nationals have dropped 4 straight and 6 of 7. The Phillies remain firmly in the NL East race, only 2 games behind the Braves.
Phillies bats have been scorching hot, averaging 8.0 runs in their 5 game win streak, and have averaged 6.2 runs per game over their last 10.
The Nationals have been scoring runs, averaging 4.25 runs per game in their 4 game losing streak, but haven't pitched well.
Aaron Nola (7-7, 4.30 ERA) takes the mound for the Phillies. He's coming off sub-4.00 ERA 2017-2020 seasons, and has pitched well in his last 2 games, going a combined 14.0 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits, 2 walks, and 18 strikeouts. He had two bad outings in August against the Reds and the Nationals, going a combined 9.1 innings, giving up 9 earned runs. In the early August game at Washington, he went 5.0 innings, with 5 earned runs on 5 hits, 3 walks and 7 strikeouts. Nationals batters have gone 23 for 109 (.211 AVG) against Nola, with 5 home runs, 14 walks and 33 strikeouts.
Paolo Espino (4-4, 4.13 ERA) pitches for the Nationals. His ERA has decreased from a >5 ERA 2017 and a 4.50 ERA 2020. His August was a mixed bag, with only one good start and then 4 poor games were he went a combined 14.1 innings, giving up 15 earned runs on 23 hits, with 4 walks and 12 strikeouts. He's seen the Phillies 4 times this season, going a combined 9.0 innings, giving up 8 earned runs on 10 hits and 2 walks. Phillies batters have gone 9 for 27 (.333 AVG) against Espino, with 1 home run.
Espino struggled against the Phillies last game out, giving up 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings. The Phillies bats have been electric recently, with 8 runs per game in their 5 game winnings streak. We see the Phillies breaking in Espino early and cruising to a win, sweeping the series.
PICK: Phillies money line (-160)
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