Phillies vs Marlins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/28

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/28

© Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

On June 28, 2024, the Miami Marlins will face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This preview covers the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and key players.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 28, 2024
  • Time: 3:20 PM
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Team Breakdown:

Miami Marlins:

The Miami Marlins enter this game with a 28-52 record, including a 12-25 record on the road. They are currently in last place in the National League East division and have lost three of their last five games.

Pitching:

Kyle Tyler will start for the Marlins. Tyler has a 0-0 record with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched. His limited MLB experience makes his potential impact uncertain.

Recent Performance:

The Marlins have struggled recently, with both their pitching staff and offense underperforming. Their inconsistency has been a major issue, and they face a tough challenge against the Phillies.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryan De La Cruz (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (.264 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (37 RBI)

The Marlins are dealing with injuries to Bryan Hoeing, Jose Devers, Braxton Garrett, Edward Cabrera, and Ryan Weathers, which affects their lineup depth.

 

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a 53-27 record, including a 31-12 record at home. They are currently in first place in the National League East division and have won four of their last five games.

Pitching:

Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Phillies. Sanchez has a 5-3 record with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched. He has been a consistent performer for Philadelphia, providing solid outings throughout the season.

Recent Performance:

The Phillies have been in excellent form recently, with their pitching staff performing well and their offense showing consistent productivity. Sanchez has been a key part of their success, delivering reliable performances on the mound.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20 HR)
  • Batting Average: Bryce Harper (.305 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (64 RBI)

The Phillies are managing injuries to Kody Clemens, Kyle Schwarber, Michael Rucker, Simon Muzziotti, and Griff McGarry, but have shown resilience in maintaining their performance levels.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
MIA (28-52) +230 o8.5 (-115) +2.5 (-135)
PHI (53-27) -280 u8.5 (EVEN) -2.5 (+115)

 

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchup and recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the Philadelphia Phillies to cover the -1.5 run line. Cristopher Sanchez, the starting pitcher for the Phillies, has been having an outstanding season with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Sanchez's consistency and ability to limit opponents make him a significant advantage for Philadelphia.

On the other side, the Marlins are starting Kyle Tyler, who has limited MLB experience and a 4.50 ERA. This lack of experience could be a significant disadvantage against a strong Phillies lineup.

The Phillies' offense, led by Bryce Harper, has been more consistent and productive compared to the Marlins. Harper's power and on-base skills provide a significant boost to Philadelphia's run-scoring potential.

The Marlins have struggled both on the road and in recent games, making them a less reliable pick. Additionally, the Phillies have been dominant at home and have a stronger overall lineup and pitching staff.

Given the combination of Sanchez's excellent season, the Phillies' recent form, and the Marlins' struggles, Philadelphia is the favored pick to cover the -1.5 run line.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+115)

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