Phillies vs Marlins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/27

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/27

© John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

On June 27, 2024, the Miami Marlins will face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This preview covers the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and key players.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 27, 2024
  • Time: 3:20 PM
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • Weather: 91°F, Sunny

Team Breakdown:

Miami Marlins:

The Miami Marlins come into this game with a 28-52 record, including a 12-25 record on the road. They are currently in last place in the National League East division and have lost one of their last five games.

Pitching:

Trevor Rogers will start for the Marlins. Rogers has a 1-8 record with a 4.90 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched. He has struggled this season, particularly against the Phillies.

Recent Performance:

The Marlins have shown inconsistency recently, managing only two wins in their last five games. Their offense and pitching have both faced challenges.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryan De La Cruz (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (.264 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (37 RBI)

The Marlins are dealing with injuries to Bryan Hoeing, Jose Devers, Braxton Garrett, Edward Cabrera, and Ryan Weathers, affecting their depth.

 

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a 53-27 record, including a 31-12 record at home. They are currently in first place in the National League East division and have won four of their last five games.

Pitching:

Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies. Wheeler has a 9-4 record with a 2.73 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched. He has been dominant this season, providing stability and consistency to the Phillies' rotation.

Recent Performance:

The Phillies have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five games. Their offense and pitching have both been strong, contributing to their success.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20 HR)
  • Batting Average: Bryce Harper (.305 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (64 RBI)

Philadelphia is managing injuries to Kody Clemens, Michael Rucker, Simon Muzziotti, Griff McGarry, and Spencer Turnbull, but their depth has allowed them to maintain their performance.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
MIA (28-52) +250 o7.5 (-120) +2.5 (-140)
PHI (53-27) -305 u7.5 (EVEN) -2.5 (+120)

 

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchup and the history of Trevor Rogers' struggles against the Phillies, the pick for this game is the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line (-1.5). Here’s why:

  • Rogers' Struggles: Trevor Rogers has struggled this season, especially against the Phillies. His 4.90 ERA and high WHIP suggest he may have difficulty containing the Phillies' strong offense.
  • Dominant Pitching: Zack Wheeler has been dominant this season with a 2.73 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. His ability to control the game from the mound gives the Phillies a significant advantage.
  • Offensive Power: Key players like Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have been performing exceptionally well, providing the necessary offensive support to secure a comfortable win.

Based on these factors, the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line (-1.5) is the best pick for this game.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+120)

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