Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction NLCS Game 1 10/16
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 16, 2023, 2:32:29 AM
© Rob Schumacher/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
NLCS Game 1: Phillies vs. Diamondbacks - Betting Analysis
The NLCS kicks off with Game 1 between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Let's explore how these two teams reached this point and dive into their strengths, weaknesses, and the best betting strategy for this matchup.
The Phillies' offense has been a driving force in their journey to the NLCS. Led by Bryce Harper and Matt Olson, they boast an impressive batting lineup. Harper holds a .293 batting average, .401 OBP, and .499 SLG, while Olson has crushed 54 home runs and driven in 139 runs. Their ability to get on base and generate runs is a significant asset for the Phillies.
On the pitching front, Zack Wheeler has been exceptional. With a 1-0 record, 2.08 ERA, and 18 strikeouts in 13 innings, he's a formidable force on the mound. The Phillies can rely on Wheeler to deliver a strong performance. Zack Wheeler excelled in Game 1 of last season's NLCS, where he allowed just one hit and struck out eight over seven scoreless innings. In his two starts this postseason, the right-hander has conceded a combined total of three earned runs, eight hits, and a solitary walk over 13 innings, while also leading all postseason pitchers with 18 strikeouts.
Fortunately for the Phillies, they have no injured players to report, which means they can field their top talent for Game 1.
The Diamondbacks' offense, led by Christian Walker, has also been impressive. Walker has hammered 33 home runs and driven in 103 runs, providing significant power in their lineup. However, they face a formidable opponent in Zack Wheeler and will need to bring their A-game.
Zac Gallen, the Diamondbacks' ace, has demonstrated his pitching prowess with a 2-0 record, 3.18 ERA, and 8 strikeouts in 11.1 innings. His ability to keep hitters at bay will be crucial in this matchup. Zac Gallen seamlessly transitioned his success into the postseason, securing wins in both series. During those starts, he conceded only two runs and five hits in each game, along with a combined total of five walks and eight strikeouts. In his sole start against Philadelphia this season, Gallen allowed the familiar two runs and five hits but did not receive a decision.
While the Diamondbacks have Gabriel Moreno listed as day-to-day, they will miss the services of Tommy Henry, who is on the 60-Day IL. This could impact their pitching depth in later innings.
Considering the strengths of both teams, this matchup promises to be a pitching duel. Zack Wheeler and Zac Gallen have been in top form, and the absence of major injuries bodes well for both sides.
However, postseason games tend to be lower-scoring affairs due to the heightened pressure and cautious approaches by batters. Given the strong starting pitching and the potential for a bullpen battle, the under (7.5) on total runs scored stands out as a favorable bet. It aligns with the expectation of a closely contested, low-scoring game.
In conclusion, as the Phillies face the Diamondbacks in NLCS Game 1, the under (7.5) appears to be the most appealing wager. With reliable starters, postseason tension, and solid bullpens, all signs point to a game with fewer runs on the board. This bet is well-suited for those seeking a smart wager for the NLCS opener.
Pick: Under 7.5 runs -110