Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Game Summary


The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Chicago Cubs on July 2, 2024, at 8:06 PM at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are in the playoff hunt, boasting a strong lineup and solid pitching. The Cubs, while rebuilding, have shown they can compete with any team on a given day. This matchup is expected to be competitive, with both teams looking to gain an edge.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 9.5 +100
Under 9.5 -122

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Aaron Nola (PHI) 9-6 3.50 135
Marcus Stroman (CHC) 6-7 4.25 110

 

Team Previews

 

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies' lineup, featuring Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto, is one of the most potent in the league.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid, with Seranthony Dominguez closing games effectively.

Fielding: The Phillies are strong defensively, minimizing errors and making key plays.

Starting Pitchers: Nola has been consistent, delivering quality starts regularly.

Chicago Cubs

Hitting: The Cubs' lineup has shown potential, with key contributions from Ian Happ and Willson Contreras.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, often giving up leads late in games.

Fielding: Defensive errors have been an issue for the Cubs.

Starting Pitchers: Stroman has been inconsistent, struggling with command issues.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# Philadelphia Phillies Chicago Cubs
1 Kyle Schwarber Nico Hoerner
2 J.T. Realmuto Willson Contreras
3 Bryce Harper Ian Happ
4 Rhys Hoskins Patrick Wisdom
5 Nick Castellanos Seiya Suzuki
6 Alec Bohm Christopher Morel
7 Didi Gregorius David Bote
8 Jean Segura Jason Heyward
9 Aaron Nola Marcus Stroman

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Phillies Mets 3-2 W
Phillies Nationals 4-5 L
Phillies Nationals 7-4 W
Cubs Cardinals 2-4 L
Cubs Brewers 1-3 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Phillies 6th 8th 10th 9th
Cubs 18th 22nd 28th 25th

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in their last 7 home games.
  • Chicago is 2-8 SU in their last 10 road games.
  • Aaron Nola has a 2.90 ERA at home this season.
  • Marcus Stroman has a 4.70 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams.
  • Philadelphia's bullpen has a 3.20 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Chicago has scored 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • Philadelphia averages 5.0 runs per game at home.
  • Chicago is 1-4 in Stroman's last 5 starts.
  • Philadelphia is 6-3 in Nola's last 9 starts.

 

Prediction

 

With Nola on the mound for the Phillies and Stroman having potential despite his struggles, this game is likely to stay under 9.5 runs. Both teams have shown tendencies towards lower-scoring games recently.

Pick: Under 9.5 runs
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