Phillies vs Brewers Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/4

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/4

© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports


MLB Preview and Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies look to extend their strong home performance, while the Brewers aim to build on their recent winning streak.


Game Overview:

  • Date: June 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:40 PM
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Gametime Weather: 84°F

Team Breakdown:

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers come into this game with a 36-23 record and a solid 18-13 record on the road. Colin Rea is the probable starting pitcher for Milwaukee.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Willy Adames (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: William Contreras (.316 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: William Contreras (44 RBI)

Colin Rea has a 4-2 record, a 3.77 ERA, and a 1.34 WHIP over 59.2 innings. He has shown consistency but is susceptible to giving up hits and runs.

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Phillies boast a 41-19 record and an impressive 24-9 home record. Cristopher Sanchez is set to start for Philadelphia.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Alec Bohm (.304 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (49 RBI)

Cristopher Sanchez has a 3-3 record with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 60.1 innings, indicating a strong but occasionally inconsistent performance.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
MIL (36-23) +140 o8.5 (-120) +1.5 (-145)
PHI (41-19) -165 u8.5 (EVEN) -1.5 (+125)


For this matchup, the prediction is that the game will go over 8.5 runs. Here's why:

First, both teams have potent offenses. The Brewers are averaging .259 with 304 runs scored and 67 home runs, while the Phillies are hitting .256 with 313 runs scored and 68 home runs. The offensive firepower on both sides suggests a high-scoring game.

Second, the starting pitchers, Colin Rea and Cristopher Sanchez, although having respectable ERAs, have shown tendencies to allow baserunners and runs. Rea has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP, and Sanchez has a 2.83 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP, indicating potential for runs to be scored.

Third, the recent form of both teams supports a high-scoring affair. The Brewers have scored 34 runs in their last five games, while the Phillies have tallied 21 runs in their last five games. Both teams' offenses are in good form, contributing to the likelihood of surpassing the 8.5 run total.

Moreover, the weather forecast of 84°F could favor hitters, with the ball potentially carrying further in the warm conditions.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs (-120)

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