Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 11 (5/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time	3:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line	+134
Phillies run line	+1.5 (-175)
Mariners money line	-159
Mariners run line	-1.5 (+146)
Over / under	7

 

Key stats

	Philadelphia Phillies	Seattle Mariners
Record	13-17	14-17
Road / home record	4-8	9-6
Last 10 record	3-7	3-7
Streak	L1	W1
Over / under record	15-13-2	16-14-1
Runs / game	4.52	3.93
Runs allowed / game	4.21	4.20

Preview

The Seattle Mariners and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the third game of the series at the Seattle-Alameda County Coliseum on Wednesdayt. The Mariners got the win on Tuesday and tied the series 1-1.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 13-17 record and have lost 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game while allowing 4.21 runs. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 7 home runs and 16 RBI. Nick Castellanos is batting for .308 avg.

Aaron Nola (1-4) lost his fourth straight decision, giving up four earned runs on nine hits, although many of those came on infield singles.

Probable Pitcher: 

Bailey Falter (0-1, 4.91 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. The Phillies are in need of rotation pieces with Zack Wheeler (undisclosed) and Zach Eflin (undisclosed) on the COVID-19 injured list, and Falter will receive the nod after being demoted two weeks ago. The 25-year-old began the season in Philadelphia's bullpen before joining the rotation at Lehigh Valley, so he's only stretched out to throw about 60-to-65 pitches.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 14-17 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.93 runs per game and allowing 4 runs. JP Crawford is batting for .340 AVG. Ty France leads with 22 RBI and 5 home runs.

Ray (3-3) gave up two runs on two hits while walking two in 5 2/3 innings.

Probable Pitcher:   Logan Gilbert (4-0, 1.36 ERA)

Gilbert will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mariners. Gilbert allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits and three walks over five innings in Friday's loss to Tampa Bay. He struck out six and did not factor in the decision.

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.

Philadelphia are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games on the road.

Seattle are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games against Philadelphia.

Prediction

The Phillies outscored the Mariners 9-0 in the first of the series but the Mariners woke up offensively in the second to tie the series. The Mariners will send their best pitcher in Logan Gilbert who's holding a 1.34 ERA while the Phillies are recalling the rookie Bailey Falter who has allowed 4 runs in 8 innings pitched in the majors this year. I'll go with the Mariners on this one as they will have the better pitcher and the offense is finally responding.

PICK: Mariners ML (-159)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.