Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 23 (10/23): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 23 (10/23): MLB

Odds

Time 2:37 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -110
Phillies run line -1.5 (+175)
Padres money line -110
Padres run line +1.5 (-210)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  San Diego Padres
Record 94-77 95-77
Home / road record 50-34 48-39
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 86-79-6 81-85-6
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 4 of the National League Championship Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Phillies bounced back and took the win 4-2 in Game 3 to take the lead on the series 2-1. Kyle Schwarber led off with his latest scintillating home run, Segura atoned for a run-scoring error with a go-ahead single

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 94-77 record and have won 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Zack Wheeler (13-8, 2.67 ERA)

Wheeler will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Phillies. wheeler gets the start after Noah Syndergaard received it in Game 4 of the previous series, but he is unlikely to stay long in the game. Given that Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola are scheduled to start Games 5 and 6 (respectively), the Phillies will feel secure resorting to their bullpen early on Saturday. He has an ERA of 16.20 and 3 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 95-77 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.36 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 705 runs scored in 1318 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado is leading the team with 32 home runs and 102 RBI and a batting average of .296.

Defensively they are allowing 4.05 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Yu Darvish leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 197 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Yu Darvish (18-9, 3.07 ERA)

Darvish will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Padres. Darvish struggled in his last start against the Dodgers allowing 5 runs but 4 earned in only 2.2 innings. He has not allowed any runs on 1 hit with 5 strikeouts in 5 innings versus the Phillies in his career. He has been credited with the win.

 

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

San Diego are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 18 games against San Diego.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Padres couldn't do much in Game 3 against a great performance from Suarez and Phillies bullpen but they might have better chances this time as the Phillies will send Wheeler who allowed 3 runs the last time he faced them. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Padres who struggled in his last start allowing 4 runs vs Dodgers but dominated the Phillies earlier this season so I think he will have a strong performance this time and give the chance to the Padres to win this game. Take the Padres.

PICK: Padres ML (-110)

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