Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 19 (8/19): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 19 (8/19): MLB

Credit: photo by Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -123
Phillies run line -1.5 (+160)
Mets money line +103
Mets run line +1.5 (-185)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  New York Mets
Record 65-52 76-43
Home / road record 32-26 36-24
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak L1 L1
Over / under record 56-55-6 60-52-7
Runs / game 4.62 4.76
Runs allowed / game 3.99 3.76

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Citizens Bank Park. The Mets lost their last series against the Braves while the Phillies beat the Reds 2 of 3 times. New York has the lead 11-4 vs Philadelphia this season.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 65-52 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 541 runs scored in 995 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 69 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .288 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 3.99 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.92 ERA, 142 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (8-9, 3.07 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Philadelphia. Nola gave up one earned run on four hits and a walk while striking out eight over eight innings to take the loss in a 1-0 defeat to the Mets on Saturday. He has a 9-6 record with an ERA of 3.09 and 176 strikeouts in 24 appearances against the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 76-43 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 562 runs scored in 1035 hits and 120 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .315 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 99 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.76 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.27 ERA, 134 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Chris Bassit (10-7, 3.27 ERA)

Bassit will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Bassitt allowed four hits and two walks over five scoreless frames Sunday, striking out five and earning a win over the Phillies. He has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.08 and 16 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Philadelphia.

NY Mets are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games on the road.

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.

Philadelphia are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.

Philadelphia are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Mets struggled in their last series vs Braves but have dominated the Phillies this season with a 11-4 record against them. Chris Bassit will take the mound who has been insane lately as he hasn't allowed a single run in his last 20 innings pitched including the last game vs Phillies. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies who has also been solid lately and hasn't allowed more than 1 run in each of his last 3 starts including the last one vs Mets. Expect another close game so the under seems like the best play.

PICK: Under 8 (-110) 

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