Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 30 (4/30): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 30 (4/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Jessica Alcheh-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +100
Phillies run line +1.5 (-200)
Mets money line -120
Mets run line -1.5 (+170)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets 
Record 10-11 15-6
Road / home record 2-6 6-2
Last 10 record 6-4 7-3
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 10-9-2 8-10-3
Runs / game 4.57 4.62
Runs allowed / game 4.20 3.05

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets twill play the 2nd game of the series at the Citi Field on Saturday night. The Mets beat the Phillies 3-0 in the first of the series. Megill and four relievers combined on the first no-hitter of the Major League Baseball season, teaming up to lead the Mets over the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 10-11 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The offense was on fire before facing Megill and the Mets bullpen. The team is averaging 4.57 runs per game while allowing 4.20 runs. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI's with 14. Nick Castellanos is batting for .303 avg and Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 4 home runs and 11 RBI. 

Nola (1-3) allowed three runs on seven hits over six frames Friday, striking out nine and taking a loss against the Mets.

Probable Pitcher: 

Kyle Gibson (2-1, 3.47 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. Gibson yielded two runs on three hits and two walks over 5.2 innings Monday, striking out four and earning a win over the Rockies. He started 2 games against the Mets last season and threw for a 2.95 ERA across 12.2 innings.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 15-6 record after beating the Phillies in the 1st game of the series. The team is averaging 4.62 runs per game and allowing 3.05 runs. Francisco Lindor leads with 4 home runs and batting for .284 AVG whit 13 RBI so far. Pete Alonso has 17 RBI.

Megill (4-0) issued three walks over five shutout innings Friday, striking out five and earning a win over Philadelphia.

Probable Pitcher:

Taijuan Walker (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mets in the 2nd game of the series. Walker has been sidelined since exiting his season debut April 11 with right shoulder bursitis, but he'll return to the mound Saturday and will unsurprisingly face some workload restrictions. He pitched 2 scoreless innings against the Phillies earlier this season.

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against NY Mets.

Philadelphia are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets' last 11 games against Philadelphia.

NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies went hitless in the first game of this series so they'll be hungry for the second game as they were on fire before that game scoring an average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games at home and are looking unstoppable. In the last series 2 of the 3 games went over the total so I expect this game to have more runs and with the total set in 7.5 I like the over.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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