Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 2 (11/2): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 2 (11/2): MLB

Odds

Time 8:03 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -110
Phillies run line -1.5 (+155)
Astros money line -110
Astros run line +1.5 (-180)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 98-78 114-58
Home / road record 53-34 54-31
Last 10 record 8-2 8-2
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 89-80-7 63-97-12
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 4 of the World Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The Phillies dominated the Astros in Game 3 as they beat them 7-0 to take the lead 2-1 on the series. Bryce Harper hammered his sixth postseason home run in the 1st innings, Brandon Marsh also homered, and Kyle Schwarber and Rhys Hoskins hit back-to-back shots in the fifth inning.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 98-78 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher: Aaron Nola (13-14, 3.38 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Phillies. Nola pitched 4.1 innings and did not factor into the decision during Friday night's Game 1 of the World Series, allowing five runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five in the 6-5 win over the Astros.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 114-58 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA)

Javier will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Astros. He pitched 5.1 scoreless innings against the Yankees on Oct. 22. but he hasn't faced the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games.

Houston are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.

Houston are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

Houston are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Philadelphia are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Phillies offense exploded again at home scoring 7 runs with 4 homers to beat the Astros in Game 3.  Aaron Nola will take the mound for this game who got rocked in Game 1 at Houston allowing 5 runs in 4.1 innings. The Astros couldn't do much against a great performance from Ranger Suarez and the Phillies bullpen who held them to zero runs in the game.  Cristian Javier will take the mound who has been insane lately and hasn't allowed a single run in his last 5 starts. The Phillies are on fire right now but they might struggle against Javier as they haven't faced him before so I'll go with the under on this game.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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